Phoenix Rising vs El Paso Locomotive Prediction - September 20, 2026

USL ChampionshipUSAFull time
Phoenix Rising
1:3
El Paso Locomotive
Correct scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.46Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home2.16price falling, opened at 2.21
Draw3.30price rising, opened at 3.13
Away2.94price falling, opened at 3.00

Market move since Sep 18. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.17price falling, opened at 1.18
Under 1.53.96price rising, opened at 3.92
Over 2.51.66price falling, opened at 1.67
Under 2.52.05price rising, opened at 2.04
Over 3.52.59price rising, opened at 2.56
Under 3.51.39price falling, opened at 1.40
Both teams to score
Yes1.55price rising, opened at 1.54
No2.27price falling, opened at 2.29
Odd/Even
Odd1.86price falling, opened at 1.91
Even1.80price rising, opened at 1.76
Handicap
Home -0.251.86price falling, opened at 1.89
Away +0.251.80price rising, opened at 1.76

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Phoenix Rising vs El Paso Locomotive?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: El Paso Locomotive are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-9Methodology

Match highlights

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Markets to consider

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Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-112.6%Our score
  2. 1-09.2%Alternative
  3. 0-18.9%
  4. 2-18.7%
  5. 1-28.2%

Top five combined: 47.6%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomePhoenix RisingxG1.34
AwayEl Paso LocomotivexG1.26
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
7.2%
9.2%
6.3%
2.9%
1.1%
0.3%
<0.1%
1
8.9%
13%
8.7%
3.9%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
2
5.6%
8.2%
5.9%
2.6%
0.8%
0.2%
<0.1%
3
2.5%
3.3%
2.5%
1.1%
0.4%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.8%
1.0%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 54.8%45.2% No
Over 1.5 74.7%25.3% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 50.3%49.7% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 28.0%72.0% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Phoenix Rising win and over 2.5 goals22.8%
Phoenix Rising win and both teams score18.4%
El Paso Locomotive win and over 2.5 goals20.3%
Draw and under 2.5 goals19.8%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Phoenix Rising or draw65.3%
El Paso Locomotive or draw61.6%
Either team wins73.1%
Draw no bet: Phoenix Rising52.5%
Draw no bet: El Paso Locomotive47.5%
Phoenix Rising win to nil19.9%
El Paso Locomotive win to nil18.0%
Team goals
Phoenix Rising to score74.8%
El Paso Locomotive to score72.9%
Phoenix Rising over 1.5 goals40.2%
El Paso Locomotive over 1.5 goals37.2%
Phoenix Rising clean sheet27.1%
El Paso Locomotive clean sheet25.2%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.74

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Phoenix Rising vs El Paso Locomotive
Head to Head

Head to Head

Phoenix Rising vs El Paso Locomotive: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
June 14, 2026El Paso Locomotive1 - 1Phoenix Rising
November 2, 2025El Paso Locomotive0 - 1Phoenix Rising
August 31, 2025Phoenix Rising3 - 3El Paso Locomotive
League Table

League Table

USL ChampionshipUSA · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12514474431+1346
11811523319+1438
2189363724+1330
22412753727+1043
32511594037+338
3178452517+828
4188373231+127
42591062928+137
5188282020026
52491053020+1037
62410772923+637
6195772431-722
725114104330+1337
7166462519+622
8166371920-121
8259973440-636
9174851216-420
92596103235-333
10173952129-818
10258983535033
11173861821-317
11257993035-530
122546152543-1818
121734101732-1513
131915132351-288
USL Championship - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1El Paso Locomotive25144744311346LWLWL
1Tampa Bay Rowdies18115233191438WWDLW
2Charleston Battery1893637241330WLDLW
2New Mexico United24127537271043WWWWD
3Colorado Springs2511594037338LWWWL
3Detroit City178452517828DLWWW
4Louisville City188373231127LWLWD
4San Antonio2591062928137WWLDW
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds188282020026WLLWL
5Sacramento Republic24910530201037WWDWL
6FC Tulsa2410772923637WDWLW
6Miami FC195772431-722DLLWD
7Lexington251141043301337WDWLW
7Rhode Island166462519622LWWLD
8Indy Eleven166371920-121LLLLW
8Orange County SC259973440-636WWDDW
9Hartford Athletic174851216-420LDLDL
9Las Vegas Lights2596103235-333DWWLL
10Loudoun United173952129-818WWDDL
10Phoenix Rising258983535033DDWLL
11Birmingham Legion173861821-317WLDLD
11Oakland Roots257993035-530LLLLW
12Monterey Bay2546152543-1818LLLDW
12Brooklyn1734101732-1513LLDWL
13Sporting JAX1915132351-288LLDWD