Las Vegas Lights vs Hartford Athletic Prediction - September 20, 2026

USL ChampionshipUSAFull time
Las Vegas Lights
1:1
Hartford Athletic
Correct scoreOur pick
0-1

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.40Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.05price rising, opened at 1.99
Draw3.44price falling, opened at 3.48
Away3.06price falling, opened at 3.17

Market move since Sep 18. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.20price rising, opened at 1.19
Under 1.53.70price falling, opened at 3.74
Over 2.51.73price rising, opened at 1.72
Under 2.51.95price falling, opened at 1.96
Over 3.52.81price rising, opened at 2.78
Under 3.51.33price falling, opened at 1.34
Both teams to score
Yes1.61
No2.16price rising, opened at 2.15
Odd/Even
Odd1.83
Even1.83
Handicap
Home -0.251.80price rising, opened at 1.75
Away +0.251.86price falling, opened at 1.92

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Las Vegas Lights vs Hartford Athletic?

The model's leading scoreline is 0 - 1, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Hartford Athletic are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-9Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Las Vegas Lights and Hartford Athletic average 2.6 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 0-111.5%Our score
  2. 1-112.1%Alternative
  3. 1-29.4%
  4. 0-28.6%
  5. 1-07.9%

Top five combined: 49.5%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeLas Vegas LightsxG0.99
AwayHartford AthleticxG1.49
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
7.9%
7.9%
4.1%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
<0.1%
1
12%
12%
6.5%
2.2%
0.6%
0.1%
<0.1%
2
8.6%
9.4%
4.9%
1.7%
0.4%
<0.1%
<0.1%
3
4.5%
4.6%
2.7%
0.9%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
1.7%
1.8%
0.9%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.6%
0.5%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
0.2%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 50.8%49.2% No
Over 1.5 72.6%27.4% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 47.8%52.2% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 25.8%74.2% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Las Vegas Lights win and over 2.5 goals14.0%
Las Vegas Lights win and both teams score12.0%
Hartford Athletic win and over 2.5 goals27.8%
Draw and under 2.5 goals20.0%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Las Vegas Lights or draw52.1%
Hartford Athletic or draw73.9%
Either team wins74.0%
Draw no bet: Las Vegas Lights35.3%
Draw no bet: Hartford Athletic64.7%
Las Vegas Lights win to nil14.2%
Hartford Athletic win to nil27.1%
Team goals
Las Vegas Lights to score65.0%
Hartford Athletic to score77.9%
Las Vegas Lights over 1.5 goals28.5%
Hartford Athletic over 1.5 goals44.8%
Las Vegas Lights clean sheet22.1%
Hartford Athletic clean sheet35.0%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.74

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Las Vegas Lights vs Hartford Athletic
League Table

League Table

USL ChampionshipUSA · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12514474431+1346
11811523319+1438
2189363724+1330
22412753727+1043
32511594037+338
3178452517+828
4188373231+127
42591062928+137
5188282020026
52491053020+1037
62410772923+637
6195772431-722
725114104330+1337
7166462519+622
8166371920-121
8259973440-636
9174851216-420
92596103235-333
10173952129-818
10258983535033
11173861821-317
11257993035-530
122546152543-1818
121734101732-1513
131915132351-288
USL Championship - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1El Paso Locomotive25144744311346LWLWL
1Tampa Bay Rowdies18115233191438WWDLW
2Charleston Battery1893637241330WLDLW
2New Mexico United24127537271043WWWWD
3Colorado Springs2511594037338LWWWL
3Detroit City178452517828DLWWW
4Louisville City188373231127LWLWD
4San Antonio2591062928137WWLDW
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds188282020026WLLWL
5Sacramento Republic24910530201037WWDWL
6FC Tulsa2410772923637WDWLW
6Miami FC195772431-722DLLWD
7Lexington251141043301337WDWLW
7Rhode Island166462519622LWWLD
8Indy Eleven166371920-121LLLLW
8Orange County SC259973440-636WWDDW
9Hartford Athletic174851216-420LDLDL
9Las Vegas Lights2596103235-333DWWLL
10Loudoun United173952129-818WWDDL
10Phoenix Rising258983535033DDWLL
11Birmingham Legion173861821-317WLDLD
11Oakland Roots257993035-530LLLLW
12Monterey Bay2546152543-1818LLLDW
12Brooklyn1734101732-1513LLDWL
13Sporting JAX1915132351-288LLDWD