Athletic Club vs Alaves Prediction - 19 September 2026
Our pick:Under 3.5 goals
Odds 1.36Won
- Correct score
- 1-0
- Alternative
- 1-1
- Under 3.5 goals
- 4/5Athletic Club · last 5 games
Match highlights
PremiumForm
- D 1-1
- W 3-0
- W 2-0
- L 0-2
- L 1-3
- L 0-1
- L 1-2
- W 5-2
- W 1-0
- D 1-1
Head to head
- 2 May 2026 Alaves 2 Athletic Club 4 La Liga
- 13 Sept 2025 Athletic Club 0 Alaves 1 La Liga
- 22 Jul 2025 Alaves 1 Athletic Club 0 Friendlies Clubs
Match analysis
Athletic Club host Alaves on 19 September on two days' rest, a day shorter than Alaves' turnaround, and Superior's model still projects a 1-0 home win. Athletic have kept two clean sheets in their last five matches, the defensive form the projection is built on despite the shorter recovery time.
Athletic have kept two clean sheets despite the quick turnaround
Athletic have won two of their last five without conceding, 3-0 and 2-0, alongside a draw and two defeats, showing their defence holds up even in matches sandwiched close together. Alaves have been more inconsistent, losing their first two of the last five before a 5-2 win turned their form around, and arrive with one extra day to recover.
Alaves' 5-2 win shows their attack can punish a tired side
Alaves scored five goals in one of their last five matches, and Athletic's own recent history includes a 1-3 and a 0-2 defeat, proof their defence is not settled. Two days' rest against a side that has found five goals in an afternoon recently is the scenario that turns this from a clean home win into something Alaves can take a share of.
Formations
Confirmed formations
Today's acca
2 matches, total odds 1.50From our blog
More La Liga predictions
Match stats
Match overview
- 69%Ball possession31%
- 1.65Expected goals (xG)0.05
- 1Big chances0
- 24Total shots2
- 0Goalkeeper saves6
- 5Corner kicks1
- 14Fouls13
- 621Passes279
- 2Yellow cards0
Shots
- 6Shots on target0
- 10Shots off target2
- 8Blocked shots0
- 9Shots inside box0
- 15Shots outside box2
Attack
- 0.74Expected assists (xA)0.13
- 15Key passes2
- 7/17 (41%)Dribbles2/13 (15%)
- 0Offsides3
Passes
- 560/621 (90%)Accurate passes208/279 (75%)
- 33/42 (79%)Long balls25/59 (42%)
- 3/30 (10%)Crosses2/7 (29%)
- 155Final third entries32
Defending
- 14/22 (64%)Tackles won10/17 (59%)
- 13Interceptions14
- 14Clearances35
- 15/22 (68%)Aerial duels7/22 (32%)
Other
- 12Free kicks14
- 15Throw-ins16
- 4Goal kicks11
More tips for this game
- Goals: Under 3.5
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-012.6%Our score
- 1-113.3%Alternative
- 2-19.4%
- 0-09.0%
- 0-18.7%
Top five combined: 53.0%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- Athletic Club win and over 2.5 goals24.7%
- Draw and under 2.5 goals22.3%
- Athletic Club win and both teams score18.6%
- Alaves win and over 2.5 goals13.2%
| Ath Bilbao | Alaves | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 73.8% | 54.0% |
| Draw no bet | 63.8% | 36.2% |
| Win to nil | 27.4% | 14.9% |
| Either team wins | 72.2% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 76.1% | 63.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 41.1% | 26.3% |
| Clean sheet | 36.5% | 23.9% |
League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | +34 | 30 | |
| 2 | 11 | +14 | 28 | |
| 3 | 11 | +18 | 27 | |
| 4 | 11 | +3 | 23 | |
| 5 | 11 | 0 | 19 | |
| 6 | 11 | -2 | 17 | |
| 7 | 10 | +4 | 15 | |
| 8 | 11 | 0 | 12 | |
| 9 | 11 | 0 | 12 | |
| 10 | 11 | -2 | 12 | |
| 11 | 10 | -5 | 12 | |
| 12 | 11 | -8 | 12 | |
| 13 | 10 | 0 | 11 | |
| 14 | 11 | -1 | 11 | |
| 15 | 10 | -10 | 11 | |
| 16 | 11 | -14 | 11 | |
| 17 | 11 | -4 | 10 | |
| 18 | 11 | -5 | 10 | |
| 19 | 11 | -9 | 9 | |
| 20 | 11 | -13 | 5 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 46 | 12 | 34 | 30 | |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 28 | |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 10 | 18 | 27 | |
| 4 | Real Betis | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 23 | |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 19 | |
| 6 | Sevilla | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 17 | |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 15 | |
| 8 | Villarreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 12 | |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 12 | |
| 10 | Alaves | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 12 | |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 | |
| 12 | Getafe | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 12 | |
| 13 | Deportivo La Coruna | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 11 | |
| 14 | Espanyol | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 11 | |
| 15 | Osasuna | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 11 | |
| 16 | Racing Santander | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 11 | |
| 17 | Elche | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 10 | |
| 18 | Levante | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 10 | |
| 19 | Valencia | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 9 | |
| 20 | Malaga | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 5 |