Stoke City vs Norwich Prediction

Our pick:Under 3.5 goals

Odds 1.38Won

83%

Correct score: 1-0
Alternative: 1-1

Form

Stoke City

L 1-4
D 1-1
L 1-3
L 1-2
W 2-0

Norwich

W 4-1
W 2-1
L 0-3
L 1-2
W 4-1

Head to head

4 Jan 2026 Norwich 0 Stoke City 2 Championship
27 Sept 2025 Stoke City 1 Norwich 1 Championship

Bookmaker odds

3.32

3.42

2.17

More markets

Total goals

Over 1.51.27

Under 1.53.75

Over 2.51.92

Under 2.51.88

Over 3.53.30

Under 3.51.33

Both teams to score

Yes1.70

No2.14

Odd/Even

Odd1.93

Even1.82

Handicap

Home +0.251.95

Away -0.251.85

Methodology

Match highlights

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Match analysis

Norwich are averaging 1.6 goals a game to Stoke City's 1.2, headlined by a 4-1 win in their last five, yet Superior still projects a tight result when the two meet in the Championship on 1 September. The model backs a narrow 1-0 home win, with 1-1 the alternate score.

Norwich are scoring at a higher rate than Stoke this season

A 4-1 win sits inside Norwich's last five, alongside two defeats and a win, giving them the stronger scoring average of the two sides at 1.6 goals a game. Stoke's own form has been steadier rather than spectacular, one win and three draws in their own last five, with a 2-0 the only game they have kept a clean sheet in. The head-to-head has been tight too, a 2-0 away win and a 1-1 draw in the two most recent meetings.

Norwich scored four goals in their most productive recent game

That 4-1 result shows Norwich's attack has more upside than a 1.6 average alone suggests, and if it shows up here it would push this well past a narrow home win. LOSES IF: Norwich win outright, or Stoke win by two or more goals, since either result sits outside the narrow home win or 1-1 draw Superior has projected.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

More tips for this game

Goals: Under 3.5Won1.38

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After full time

Top five correct scores

1-014.0%Our score
1-113.3%Alternative
0-011.8%
0-111.2%
2-08.3%

Top five combined: 58.6%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeStoke CityxG1.19

AwayNorwichxG0.95

12%

14%

8.3%

3.3%

1.0%

0.2%

<0.1%

11%

13%

7.9%

3.1%

0.9%

0.2%

<0.1%

5.3%

6.3%

3.8%

1.5%

0.4%

0.1%

<0.1%

1.7%

2.0%

1.2%

0.5%

0.1%

<0.1%

0.4%

0.5%

0.3%

0.1%

<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 42.7%57.3% No

Over 1.5 63.0%37.0% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 36.1%63.9% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 16.9%83.1% Under 3.5

Combos

Draw and under 2.5 goals25.1%
Stoke City win and over 2.5 goals19.1%
Stoke City win and both teams score14.5%
Norwich win and over 2.5 goals12.8%

Outcome markets
	Stoke City	Norwich
Win or draw	70.7%	58.6%
Draw no bet	58.6%	41.4%
Win to nil	26.9%	18.7%
Either team wins	70.7%
Team goals
To score	69.6%	61.3%
Over 1.5 goals	33.3%	24.6%
Clean sheet	38.7%	30.4%

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Match highlights
Top five correct scores
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
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2 games, total odds 1.61

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Stoke City vs Norwich

League table

ChampionshipEngland · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	12	7	4	1	27	17	+10	25
2	Swansea	11	7	2	2	16	8	+8	23
3	West Ham	11	6	4	1	30	12	+18	22
4	Birmingham	11	5	5	1	20	11	+9	20
5	West Brom	11	6	2	3	15	12	+3	20
6	Stoke City	11	6	1	4	18	16	+2	19
7	Wolves	11	5	3	3	19	16	+3	18
8	Southampton	11	6	3	2	21	10	+11	17
9	QPR	11	4	5	2	15	12	+3	17
10	Blackburn	11	4	3	4	17	16	+1	15
11	Sheffield United	11	4	3	4	15	14	+1	15
12	Millwall	11	4	3	4	18	18	0	15
13	Portsmouth	11	4	3	4	14	14	0	15
14	Wrexham	11	3	5	3	15	16	-1	14
15	Bristol City	11	4	2	5	12	15	-3	14
16	Charlton	11	3	5	3	10	15	-5	14
17	Bolton	12	4	2	6	16	23	-7	14
18	Lincoln	11	3	3	5	9	19	-10	12
19	Cardiff	11	2	5	4	18	17	+1	11
20	Watford	11	3	2	6	10	19	-9	11
21	Norwich	11	3	0	8	17	21	-4	9
22	Burnley	11	1	5	5	16	21	-5	8
23	Derby	11	1	3	7	9	20	-11	6
24	Preston	11	1	1	9	9	24	-15	4

Relegation

Championship - League table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points
1	Middlesbrough	12	7	4	1	27	17	10	25
2	Swansea	11	7	2	2	16	8	8	23
3	West Ham	11	6	4	1	30	12	18	22
4	Birmingham	11	5	5	1	20	11	9	20
5	West Brom	11	6	2	3	15	12	3	20
6	Stoke City	11	6	1	4	18	16	2	19
7	Wolves	11	5	3	3	19	16	3	18
8	Southampton	11	6	3	2	21	10	11	17
9	QPR	11	4	5	2	15	12	3	17
10	Blackburn	11	4	3	4	17	16	1	15
11	Sheffield United	11	4	3	4	15	14	1	15
12	Millwall	11	4	3	4	18	18	0	15
13	Portsmouth	11	4	3	4	14	14	0	15
14	Wrexham	11	3	5	3	15	16	-1	14
15	Bristol City	11	4	2	5	12	15	-3	14
16	Charlton	11	3	5	3	10	15	-5	14
17	Bolton	12	4	2	6	16	23	-7	14
18	Lincoln	11	3	3	5	9	19	-10	12
19	Cardiff	11	2	5	4	18	17	1	11
20	Watford	11	3	2	6	10	19	-9	11
21	Norwich	11	3	0	8	17	21	-4	9
22	Burnley	11	1	5	5	16	21	-5	8
23	Derby	11	1	3	7	9	20	-11	6
24	Preston	11	1	1	9	9	24	-15	4

Stoke City vs Norwich Prediction - 1 September 2026

Form

Head to head

Bookmaker odds

Match highlights

Match analysis

Norwich are scoring at a higher rate than Stoke this season

Norwich scored four goals in their most productive recent game

More tips for this game

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Top five correct scores

Goals and BTTS chances

Combos

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More Championship predictions

League table

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