Swansea vs Watford Prediction - 1 September 2026
Our pick:Under 3.5 goals
Odds 1.38Won
- Correct score
- 1-0
- Alternative
- 1-1
- Under 3.5 goals
- 5/5Swansea · last 5 games
Form
- W 3-0
- D 0-0
- W 2-1
- L 0-1
- W 1-0
- D 1-1
- L 1-5
- D 1-1
- W 2-1
- W 1-0
Head to head
- 31 Jan 2026 Watford 0 Swansea 2 Championship
- 23 Aug 2025 Swansea 1 Watford 1 Championship
Match highlights
PremiumMatch analysis
Three meetings between Swansea and Watford have produced three different results, a Swansea win, a draw and a Watford win, and Superior projects the pattern stays tight for their Championship meeting on 1 September. The model backs a narrow 1-0 home win, with 1-1 the alternate score.
The last three meetings between Swansea and Watford have gone three different ways
A 2-0 Swansea win, a 1-1 draw and a 1-0 Watford win make up that head-to-head history, none of it settled comfortably. Swansea's own home form has been similarly mixed, a 1-0 win and a 0-1 loss inside their last three at this ground, while Watford's scoring rate of 1.0 goals a game is only narrowly ahead of Swansea's own 0.6. A tight, low-scoring home win fits both that recent split and each side's modest output.
A 1-5 home defeat is the outlier in Watford's recent defensive record
That 1-5 home defeat shows Watford's defence is not always as tight as a 1.0 goals-against average suggests, which could open the door to a heavier Swansea scoreline than the projected 1-0. LOSES IF: Watford win outright, or the match produces three or more total goals, since either result sits outside the narrow home win or 1-1 draw Superior has projected.
More tips for this game
- Goals: Under 3.5
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-013.4%Our score
- 1-113.4%Alternative
- 0-011.6%
- 0-111.6%
- 2-07.8%
Top five combined: 57.8%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- Draw and under 2.5 goals25.0%
- Swansea win and over 2.5 goals18.2%
- Swansea win and both teams score14.1%
- Watford win and over 2.5 goals14.0%
| Swansea | Watford | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 68.7% | 60.7% |
| Draw no bet | 55.7% | 44.3% |
| Win to nil | 25.3% | 19.9% |
| Either team wins | 70.6% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 68.6% | 63.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 32.2% | 26.4% |
| Clean sheet | 36.8% | 31.4% |
Today's acca
2 games, total odds 1.61
League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | +10 | 25 | |
| 2 | 11 | +8 | 23 | |
| 3 | 11 | +18 | 22 | |
| 4 | 11 | +9 | 20 | |
| 5 | 11 | +3 | 20 | |
| 6 | 11 | +2 | 19 | |
| 7 | 11 | +3 | 18 | |
| 8 | 11 | +11 | 17 | |
| 9 | 11 | +3 | 17 | |
| 10 | 11 | +1 | 15 | |
| 11 | 11 | +1 | 15 | |
| 12 | 11 | 0 | 15 | |
| 13 | 11 | 0 | 15 | |
| 14 | 11 | -1 | 14 | |
| 15 | 11 | -3 | 14 | |
| 16 | 11 | -5 | 14 | |
| 17 | 12 | -7 | 14 | |
| 18 | 11 | -10 | 12 | |
| 19 | 11 | +1 | 11 | |
| 20 | 11 | -9 | 11 | |
| 21 | 11 | -4 | 9 | |
| 22 | 11 | -5 | 8 | |
| 23 | 11 | -11 | 6 | |
| 24 | 11 | -15 | 4 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 25 | |
| 2 | Swansea | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 23 | |
| 3 | West Ham | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 12 | 18 | 22 | |
| 4 | Birmingham | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 20 | |
| 5 | West Brom | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 | |
| 6 | Stoke City | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 19 | |
| 7 | Wolves | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 18 | |
| 8 | Southampton | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 17 | |
| 9 | QPR | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 17 | |
| 10 | Blackburn | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 15 | |
| 11 | Sheffield United | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 15 | |
| 12 | Millwall | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 15 | |
| 13 | Portsmouth | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 15 | |
| 14 | Wrexham | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 14 | |
| 15 | Bristol City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 14 | |
| 16 | Charlton | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 14 | |
| 17 | Bolton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 14 | |
| 18 | Lincoln | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 12 | |
| 19 | Cardiff | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 11 | |
| 20 | Watford | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 | |
| 21 | Norwich | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 9 | |
| 22 | Burnley | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 8 | |
| 23 | Derby | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 6 | |
| 24 | Preston | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 4 |