Birmingham vs Southampton Prediction - September 1, 2026

ChampionshipEnglandFull time
Birmingham
1:1
Southampton
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-2

Goals: Over 1.51.28Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.90price rising, opened at 2.40
Draw3.46price rising, opened at 3.28
Away2.39price falling, opened at 2.89

Market move since Aug 30. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.22price falling, opened at 1.23
Under 1.54.33price rising, opened at 3.44
Over 2.51.75price falling, opened at 1.84
Under 2.52.07price rising, opened at 1.93
Over 3.52.77price falling, opened at 2.89
Under 3.51.45price rising, opened at 1.32
Both teams to score
Yes1.56price falling, opened at 1.64
No2.43price rising, opened at 2.13
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price rising, opened at 1.88
Even1.82price rising, opened at 1.80
Handicap
Home +02.01
Away +01.80

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Birmingham vs Southampton?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Birmingham and Southampton average 3.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-110.1%Projected
  2. 1-29.4%Alternative
  3. 0-17.5%
  4. 0-27.0%
  5. 2-16.8%

Top five combined: 40.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeBirminghamxG1.35
AwaySouthamptonxG1.86
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
4.0%
5.4%
3.7%
1.7%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
1
7.5%
10%
6.8%
3.1%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
2
7.0%
9.4%
6.4%
2.9%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
3
4.3%
5.8%
4.0%
1.8%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
4
2.0%
2.7%
1.8%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
5
0.7%
1.0%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 62.6%37.4% No
Over 1.5 83.1%16.9% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 62.3%37.7% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 40.1%59.9% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Birmingham win and over 2.5 goals18.9%
Birmingham win and both teams score16.4%
Southampton win and over 2.5 goals35.0%
Draw and under 2.5 goals14.1%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Birmingham or draw50.6%
Southampton or draw72.0%
Either team wins77.4%
Draw no bet: Birmingham36.2%
Draw no bet: Southampton63.8%
Birmingham win to nil11.5%
Southampton win to nil21.8%
Team goals
Birmingham to score74.2%
Southampton to score84.4%
Birmingham over 1.5 goals39.2%
Southampton over 1.5 goals55.5%
Birmingham clean sheet15.6%
Southampton clean sheet25.8%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Birmingham vs Southampton
Head to Head

Head to Head

Birmingham vs Southampton: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
December 29, 2025Birmingham1 - 1Southampton
December 6, 2025Southampton3 - 1Birmingham
League Table

League Table

ChampionshipEngland · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1431071+610
2330052+39
34211118+37
4321052+37
5421176+17
6320164+26
7320165+16
8320165+16
9413054+16
10413054+16
11412187+15
1241215505
13412145-15
14411245-14
1500000000
15411257-24
16411235-24
174211105+53
1830305503
19410357-23
20410358-33
21410349-53
22302134-12
23301249-51
24400439-60
Relegation
Championship - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Swansea431071610
2Charlton33005239
3Wolves421111837
4QPR32105237
5Bristol City42117617
6Middlesbrough32016426
7Millwall32016516
8West Brom32016516
9Sheffield United41305416
10Birmingham41305416
11West Ham41218715
12Blackburn41215505
13Watford412145-15
14Bolton411245-14
15Sheffield Utd00000000
15Derby411257-24
16Lincoln411235-24
17Southampton421110553
18Cardiff30305503
19Norwich410357-23
20Portsmouth410358-33
21Stoke City410349-53
22Wrexham302134-12
23Burnley301249-51
24Preston400439-60