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Croatia vs Spain Prediction - 6 October 2026

UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Croatia
vs
Spain

Correct score0-1Alternative1-3

Form

Croatia
  1. L 0-7
  2. L 1-4
  3. W 2-1
  4. L 1-2
  5. W 2-1
Spain
  1. W 3-1
  2. W 4-1
  3. W 3-2
  4. D 0-0
  5. W 2-0

Head to head

  1. 29 Sept 2026 Spain 4 Croatia 1 UEFA Nations League
  2. 15 Jun 2024 Spain 3 Croatia 0 Euro Championship

Bookmaker odds

Home9.70price rising, opened at 6.70
Draw6.00price rising, opened at 4.90
Away1.27price falling, opened at 1.43
All oddsPremium
Methodology

Match analysis

Spain's attack is rated 6.5 against a Croatian defence at 5.9, and that gap drives Superior's projected 0-1 away win in Croatia vs Spain on 6 October, with 1-3 as the alternative score. Spain beat Croatia 4-1 a week earlier and have won each of their last five.

Spain have won five straight and scored 12

Spain beat Croatia 4-1 at home on 29 September, won 3-2 in England three days earlier and beat France 2-0 in July. Superior's model sets expected goals by matching one team's attack against the other's defence. Croatia's attack and Spain's defence are rated level at 5.9, which keeps a Croatian goal possible, while Spain's sharper attack against that same 5.9 Croatian defence puts the visitors ahead in the grid.

Croatia have scored in each of their last five

Croatia found the net even in the 4-1 defeat in Spain, and won 2-1 in the Czech Republic on 26 September. One Croatian goal breaks a 0-1, and a 1-1 at home is a plain enough route to it. The forecast leans on Spain's defence repeating the clean sheets it kept against France and Portugal in July.

More tips for this game

  • Asian Handicap: Away -1.252.04
  • Asian Handicap: Away -0.510.20
  • Asian Handicap: Away -0.2510.20
  • Match Winner: Away13.00

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Today's acca

2 games, total odds 1.64

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Croatia vs Spain