Scotland vs Slovenia Prediction - 6 October 2026
Our pick:Under 3.5 goals
82%Odds 1.20
Picked at 1.20 · now 1.16
Correct score1-1Alternative1-0
Form
- W 2-0
- L 0-3
- D 0-0
- L 0-3
- L 0-1
- L 1-2
- W 2-0
- D 0-0
- L 1-2
- D 1-1
Head to head
- 26 Sept 2026 Slovenia 0 Scotland 0 UEFA Nations League
Match analysis
Scotland's attack is rated 6.7 against a Slovenian defence at 6.1, which is why Superior projects a Scotland goal in Scotland vs Slovenia on 6 October even after one goal in their last five. The forecast is 1-1, with a 1-0 Scotland win as the alternative.
The sides drew 0-0 in Slovenia on 26 September
That goalless draw is the only recent meeting. Superior's model sets expected goals by matching one side's attack against the other's defence: Slovenia's attack, at 5.9, meets a Scottish defence rated 6.3, and Scotland's 6.7 attack meets Slovenia's 6.1. Both pairings leave room for one goal at each end, and Slovenia arrive having beaten North Macedonia 2-0 on 29 September and won 3-2 in Montenegro in March.
Scotland have failed to score in four of their last five
Scotland lost 3-0 at home to Switzerland on 29 September, 3-0 to Brazil and 1-0 to Morocco in June, and drew 0-0 in Slovenia. Their only goal came in a 1-0 win over Haiti. If that attack stays dry, a 0-0 or a Slovenia win replaces the projected 1-1, and Slovenia have kept two clean sheets in their last five.
More tips for this game
- Goals: Under 3.5
- Goals: Under 2.5
- Correct score: 1-0
Today's acca
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