Kyrgyzstan vs Lebanon Prediction - 4 October 2026
- Correct score
- 0-1
- Alternative
- 1-3
Match highlights
VIPForm
- W 5-0
- D 0-0
- D 0-0
- L 2-5
- L 0-1
- W 6-0
- L 1-2
- W 3-0
- W 4-0
- W 2-0
Match analysis
Kyrgyzstan drew 0-0 with Palestine in both of their June friendlies, and that blank home attack is the reason Superior forecasts a 0-1 Lebanon win in Kyrgyzstan vs Lebanon on 4 October. The alternative score is 1-3, so both of the model's leading outcomes have Lebanon scoring and Kyrgyzstan held to one goal or none.
Kyrgyzstan scored twice in four games before the Maldives rout
Set aside the 5-0 win over the Maldives on 28 September and Kyrgyzstan have two goals in four matches: 0-0 and 0-0 against Palestine, a 1-0 defeat to Equatorial Guinea and a 5-2 loss to Madagascar in March. Superior builds each side's expected scoring rate from measured scoring and conceding, then pulls a five-game sample back toward a baseline, which keeps a single 5-0 from dominating the home rate. Lebanon average 2.0 goals a game across their last five, with wins over Bhutan twice and Brunei in that run.
Lebanon lost 2-1 to Sudan in their latest game
The most recent result in Lebanon's strip is a 2-1 defeat to Sudan on 26 November, so this defence has conceded twice in its last outing, and Kyrgyzstan arrive six days after putting five past the Maldives. One home goal is enough to turn the 0-1 into a draw or worse. Lebanon also failed to score in a 0-0 against Indonesia within that same five-game run, which would take the away goal off the board too.
Today's acca
2 matches, total odds 1.66LostMore Friendlies predictions
Match stats
Match overview
- 48%Ball possession52%
- 5Corner kicks3
- 4Yellow cards1
Shots
- 5Shots on target6
- 3Shots off target2
Attack
- 95Attacks98
- 2Offsides2
Other
- 12Free kicks20
- 23Throw-ins29
- 7Goal kicks5
More tips for this game
- Asian Handicap: Away -0.25
- Asian Handicap: Away -0.5
- Match Winner: Away
- Asian Handicap: Away -1.25
- Correct score: 0-1