USA vs Mexico Prediction - 4 October 2026
FriendliesWorldFull time
USA
3-0
Mexico
Our pick:Over 1.5 goals
Odds 1.39Won
- Correct score
- 1-1
- Alternative
- 2-1
- Over 1.5 goals
- 5/5USA · last 5 games
Match highlights
VIPForm
USA
- W 4-2
- W 4-1
- L 1-4
- W 2-0
- L 2-3
Mexico
- D 1-1
- D 1-1
- L 2-3
- W 2-0
- W 3-0
Head to head
- 6 Jul 2025 USA 1 Mexico 2 CONCACAF Gold Cup
Today's acca
2 matches, total odds 1.66More Friendlies predictions
FT
ArgentinaOur pick
Burkina Faso
WonHome win
FT
Egypt
South Africa
WonUnder 3.5
Match stats
USAMexico
Match overview
- 49%Ball possession51%
- 1.73Expected goals (xG)1.14
- 2Big chances1
- 8Total shots6
- 1Goalkeeper saves1
- 2Corner kicks3
- 18Fouls9
- 426Passes440
- 2Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards1
Shots
- 4Shots on target1
- 2Shots off target4
- 2Blocked shots1
- 6Shots inside box3
- 2Shots outside box3
Attack
- 53Attacks70
- 0.54Expected assists (xA)0.58
- 5Key passes4
- 11/20 (55%)Dribbles6/14 (43%)
- 2Offsides4
Passes
- 355/426 (83%)Accurate passes369/440 (84%)
- 22/47 (47%)Long balls16/41 (39%)
- 2/11 (18%)Crosses1/12 (8%)
- 53Final third entries42
Defending
- 8/16 (50%)Tackles won10/14 (71%)
- 13Interceptions13
- 21Clearances20
- 19/24 (79%)Aerial duels5/24 (21%)
Other
- 9Free kicks18
- 18Throw-ins18
- 6Goal kicks3
More tips for this game
- Goals: Over 1.5
VIP
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-112.7%Our score
- 1-09.9%
- 0-19.4%
- 2-18.4%Alternative
- 1-28.1%
Top five combined: 48.5%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
HomeUSAxG1.20
AwayMexicoxG1.24
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
8.1%
9.9%
6.4%
2.9%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
1
9.4%
13%
8.4%
3.5%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
2
5.8%
8.1%
4.8%
2.2%
0.7%
0.2%
<0.1%
3
2.5%
3.2%
2.1%
0.9%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.8%
1.0%
0.7%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
Goals and BTTS chances
Both teams to score Yes 52.1%47.9% No
Over 1.5 72.7%27.3% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 47.8%52.2% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 25.8%74.2% Under 3.5
Combos
- USA win and over 2.5 goals22.0%
- Draw and under 2.5 goals20.7%
- Mexico win and over 2.5 goals20.0%
- USA win and both teams score17.4%
| USA | Mexico | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 64.8% | 61.7% |
| Draw no bet | 52.1% | 47.9% |
| Win to nil | 20.8% | 19.0% |
| Either team wins | 73.4% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 72.9% | 71.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 37.7% | 35.4% |
| Clean sheet | 28.9% | 27.1% |