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Pakhtakor vs Al-Qadisiyah FC Prediction - 12 October 2026

AFC Champions LeagueWorldFull time
Pakhtakor
1-1
Al-Qadisiyah FC

Our pick:Over 1.5 goals

78%Odds 1.24Won

Correct score1-1Alternative1-2

5/5 Over 1.5 goals Pakhtakor · last 5 games

Form

Pakhtakor
  1. W 3-1
  2. W 2-1
  3. D 1-1
  4. W 3-1
  5. W 3-0
Al-Qadisiyah FC
  1. W 5-0
  2. W 2-1
  3. D 3-3
  4. W 3-2
  5. W 2-0

Bookmaker odds

Home5.90price rising, opened at 5.05
Draw4.42price rising, opened at 4.02
Away1.52price falling, opened at 1.65
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.16price falling, opened at 1.21
Under 1.54.10price rising, opened at 3.58
Over 2.51.66price falling, opened at 1.77
Under 2.52.23price rising, opened at 2.04
Over 3.52.46price falling, opened at 2.74
Under 3.51.43price rising, opened at 1.35
Both teams to score
Yes1.72price falling, opened at 1.75
No2.01price rising, opened at 1.97
Odd/Even
Odd1.84
Even1.84
Handicap
Home +11.94
Away -11.79
Methodology

Match highlights

Premium

Match analysis

Al-Qadisiyah have scored at least twice in all of their last five games, averaging 2.6 a game, and Pakhtakor add 1.8 of their own. Superior reads Pakhtakor vs Al-Qadisiyah as an Over 1.5 goals game. The pick is priced 1.24 and holds a 78% chance.

Al-Ahli Saudi as the measuring stick

Both sides have played Al-Ahli Saudi in the past month. Pakhtakor drew 1-1 away on 14 September, while Al-Qadisiyah beat them 3-2 at home six days earlier and then beat Al-Wasl 2-1. Pakhtakor could only draw with Al-Ahli and Al-Qadisiyah outscored them, which puts the visitors' attack a step above the hosts' without making Pakhtakor a side that fails to score. Both clubs come into this on the same short rest.

Al-Qadisiyah concede as well

Al-Qadisiyah's 3-3 with Al-Ettifaq and 3-1 over Al-Faisaly mean they have conceded in four of their last five. Pakhtakor's own run reads 2-1 at Mash'al, 3-1 at Olmaliq and 3-0 against Andijan, with a 0-1 at Neftchi on 29 August the only game under two goals.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

More tips for this game

  • Goals: Over 1.5Won1.24
  • Correct score: 1-1Won6.50
Compare bookmakers

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After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-111.5%Our score
  2. 0-110.1%
  3. 1-08.9%
  4. 1-28.6%Alternative
  5. 2-18.0%

Top five combined: 47.1%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomePakhtakorxG0.94
AwayAl-Qadisiyah FCxG1.55
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
6.9%
8.9%
5.6%
2.6%
1.0%
0.4%
<0.1%
1
10%
11%
8.0%
3.2%
1.0%
0.4%
<0.1%
2
7.3%
8.6%
4.5%
2.2%
0.7%
0.2%
<0.1%
3
3.7%
3.8%
2.3%
0.8%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
1.4%
1.4%
0.8%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.5%
0.5%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
0.2%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 51.5%48.5% No
Over 1.5 74.2%25.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 49.8%50.2% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 26.9%73.1% Under 3.5

Combos

  1. Al-Qadisiyah FC win and over 2.5 goals24.1%
  2. Pakhtakor win and over 2.5 goals20.3%
  3. Draw and under 2.5 goals18.3%
  4. Pakhtakor win and both teams score16.3%
PakhtakorAl-Qadisiyah FC
Outcome markets
Win or draw58.5%65.2%
Draw no bet45.6%54.4%
Win to nil18.5%23.2%
Either team wins76.3%
Team goals
To score70.0%74.6%
Over 1.5 goals35.2%40.3%
Clean sheet25.4%30.0%

Premium

  • Match highlights
  • Top five correct scores
  • Goals and BTTS chances
  • Combos
  • Custom Acca Builder

Today's acca

2 games, total odds 1.65
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