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UEFA Nations League

Romania vs Sweden

Correct score
1 - 1
Alternative score
1 - 2
Featured pick
Goals: Over 1.5 @ 1.2
Match page

Match analysis

Sweden's defence carries a 4.6 rating into Romania vs Sweden on 5 October, the lowest of the four units on the pitch, and they have conceded in each of their last five games. Superior's pick is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20, which the model rates at 82 percent, with 1-1 as its correct score.

Every Sweden game in the last five had two or more goals

Sweden beat Poland 3-1 on 28 September and Tunisia 5-1 in June, and lost 0-3 in France and 1-5 in the Netherlands. Their attack rating of 5.0 sits a point below Romania's defence, and they still scored in four of those five. The model weighs both teams' measured attack and defence strength into expected goals, and Sweden's defence is what keeps goalless and single-goal results to a small share of the distribution.

Romania beat Austria 1-0 in October 2025

That 1-0 is a result this pick cannot survive, along with 0-0 and 0-1. Romania score 1.2 goals a game, have not scored more than twice in any of their last five and lost 0-2 in Slovakia in March. If Romania keep Sweden out and score once, a 1-0 loses this bet.

Bookmaker odds

Home3.78
Draw3.88
Away1.89
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.17
Under 1.54.30
Over 2.51.64
Under 2.52.26
Over 3.52.49
Under 3.51.46
Both teams to score
Yes1.57
No2.28
Odd/Even
Odd1.85
Even1.85
Handicap
Home +0.751.73
Away -0.752.11

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Match History

Head to Head

These two have never met in our records.

Recent Form

Head to Head

Romania vs Sweden: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
6 June 2026Romania2 - 1Wales
2 June 2026Georgia1 - 1Romania
31 March 2026Slovakia2 - 0Romania
12 October 2025Romania1 - 0Austria
9 October 2025Romania2 - 1Moldova

Head to Head

Sweden vs Romania: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
28 September 2026Sweden3 - 1Poland
30 June 2026France3 - 0Sweden
25 June 2026Japan1 - 1Sweden
20 June 2026Netherlands5 - 1Sweden
15 June 2026Sweden5 - 1Tunisia
View Romania vs Sweden Prediction