Head to Head Stats & Predictions
Next meeting
Las Vegas Lights vs New Mexico United
- Projected score
- 1 - 1
- Alternative score
- 1 - 0
- Featured pick
- Goals: Under 3.5 @ 1.38
Match analysis
New Mexico United arrive unbeaten in four without needing a flood of goals to stay that way, and that controlled record against a Las Vegas Lights side short on firepower is why Superior backs Under 3.5 goals at 1.38 for their USL Championship meeting on 6 September, a 77 percent probability.
New Mexico's unbeaten run has still been low scoring
New Mexico have won three and drawn one of their last five without needing a flood of goals to do it, their heaviest win a 5-2 away from home two matches back. Las Vegas have scored in three of their last five but rarely more than once in a game, and their most recent result was a scoreless draw. That combination, a controlled unbeaten side against a team short on firepower, points toward a game that stays under control rather than opens up.
New Mexico's 5-2 is the scoreline that beats this
LOSES IF: four or more goals combined. New Mexico's 5-2 win two matches ago is proof their attack can put a game out of reach quickly, and Las Vegas have shipped multiple goals at home this run too. If that version of New Mexico turns up rather than the tighter one from their last two results, the total climbs past this line fast.
AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.
Bookmaker odds
Market move since Sep 3. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.
More markets
One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.
H2H Statistics
Match History
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | New Mexico United | 3 - 1 | Las Vegas Lights |
| August 17, 2025 | New Mexico United | 2 - 2 | Las Vegas Lights |
Recent Form
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| August 30, 2026 | Las Vegas Lights | 0 - 2 | Charleston Battery |
| August 22, 2026 | Lexington | 2 - 0 | Las Vegas Lights |
| August 16, 2026 | Las Vegas Lights | 2 - 1 | Brooklyn |
| August 8, 2026 | Miami FC | 0 - 1 | Las Vegas Lights |
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| August 30, 2026 | New Mexico United | 1 - 2 | San Antonio |
| August 27, 2026 | New Mexico United | 2 - 1 | Lexington |
| August 22, 2026 | Loudoun United | 0 - 0 | New Mexico United |
| August 16, 2026 | New Mexico United | 1 - 0 | FC Tulsa |
| August 9, 2026 | Monterey Bay | 2 - 5 | New Mexico United |