Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights Prediction - 1 October 2026
Match highlights
VIPForm
- W 3-2
- D 0-0
- W 1-0
- D 1-1
- D 1-1
- D 1-1
- W 2-0
- L 1-2
- L 0-2
- L 0-2
Head to head
- 12 Apr 2026 Las Vegas Lights 1 Sacramento Republic 1 USL Championship
- 5 Jul 2025 Las Vegas Lights 0 Sacramento Republic 2 USL Championship
- 1 Jun 2025 Sacramento Republic 4 Las Vegas Lights 0 USL League One Cup
Team averages before kickoff
For
- 14.0Total shots16.6
- 3.9Shots on target4.4
- 5.9Corner kicks3.8
- 1.1Cards2.0
Against
- 7.6Total shots10.4
- 2.6Shots on target3.5
- 2.7Corner kicks5.6
- 1.5Cards2.6
Match analysis
Sacramento Republic are unbeaten in three meetings with Las Vegas Lights, and the Sacramento win is Superior's pick for Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights on 1 October at 1.57. The model gives it a 63% chance because Las Vegas score 0.8 goals a game and have lost three of their last five.
Sacramento beat Las Vegas 4-0 at home in June 2025
The three meetings went 4-0 to Sacramento at home in June 2025, 2-0 to Sacramento away a month later and 1-1 away in April. Superior's grid starts from each side's measured scoring and conceding, and Las Vegas bring 0.8 goals a game against Sacramento's 1.2, so the likeliest scores it prices are 1-0 and 2-0 to the home side. Las Vegas lost 0-2 at Lexington, then 0-2 to Charleston and 1-2 to New Mexico at home, before a 2-0 win at Orange County on 13 September.
Sacramento drew 0-0 at home with San Antonio on 20 September
The home win loses to any draw, and Sacramento have drawn three of their last five, including that goalless night against San Antonio. A scoring rate of 1.2 a game leaves little room, so a single Las Vegas goal can turn a 1-0 into a 1-1. Sacramento did win 3-2 at New Mexico on 27 September, but they conceded twice to do it.
Today's acca
2 matches, total odds 1.66LostMatch stats
Match overview
- 55%Ball possession45%
- 3Big chances4
- 15Total shots11
- 3Goalkeeper saves2
- 14Corner kicks6
- 11Fouls14
- 416Passes355
- 3Yellow cards4
Shots
- 5Shots on target5
- 7Shots off target5
- 3Blocked shots1
- 8Shots inside box7
Attack
- 86Attacks76
- 11Key passes9
- 7/19 (37%)Dribbles3/9 (33%)
- 3Offsides1
Passes
- 345/416 (83%)Accurate passes273/355 (77%)
- 20/45 (44%)Long balls25/63 (40%)
- 3/28 (11%)Crosses2/13 (15%)
- 110Final third entries57
Defending
- 7/16 (44%)Tackles won15/17 (88%)
- 12Interceptions3
- 17Clearances39
- 11/27 (41%)Aerial duels16/27 (59%)
Other
- 13Free kicks10
- 16Throw-ins14
- 6Goal kicks10
More tips for this game
- Match Winner: Home
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After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-014.2%Our score
- 2-012.0%
- 1-110.7%
- 2-110.0%
- 0-07.8%
Top five combined: 54.7%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- Sacramento Republic win and over 2.5 goals34.9%
- Sacramento Republic win and both teams score23.0%
- Draw and under 2.5 goals18.5%
- Las Vegas Lights win and over 2.5 goals7.8%
| Sacramento Republic | Las Vegas Lights | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 84.0% | 38.9% |
| Draw no bet | 79.2% | 20.8% |
| Win to nil | 38.2% | 9.1% |
| Either team wins | 77.1% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 83.1% | 54.0% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 52.7% | 18.6% |
| Clean sheet | 46.0% | 16.9% |
League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | +11 | 52 | ||
| 1 | 30 | +26 | 61 | ||
| 2 | 30 | +21 | 53 | ||
| 2 | 30 | +14 | 51 | ||
| 3 | 30 | +10 | 50 | ||
| 3 | 30 | +13 | 51 | ||
| 4 | 30 | +8 | 47 | ||
| 4 | 30 | +18 | 48 | ||
| 5 | 30 | +6 | 47 | ||
| 5 | 30 | +3 | 45 | ||
| 6 | 30 | +2 | 43 | ||
| 6 | 30 | +2 | 45 | ||
| 7 | 30 | +3 | 43 | ||
| 7 | 30 | +9 | 42 | ||
| 8 | 30 | -1 | 40 | ||
| 8 | 30 | -10 | 36 | ||
| 9 | 30 | -6 | 34 | ||
| 9 | 30 | -10 | 39 | ||
| 10 | 30 | -10 | 31 | ||
| 10 | 30 | -1 | 38 | ||
| 11 | 30 | -6 | 30 | ||
| 11 | 30 | -7 | 36 | ||
| 12 | 30 | -20 | 24 | ||
| 12 | 30 | -29 | 21 | ||
| 13 | 30 | -46 | 14 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Mexico United | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 52 | WWWWD |
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 61 | WWDLW |
| 2 | Charleston Battery | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 53 | WLDLW |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 51 | WWDWL |
| 3 | El Paso Locomotive | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 50 | LWLWL |
| 3 | Detroit City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 51 | DLWWW |
| 4 | Louisville City | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 47 | LWLWD |
| 4 | Lexington | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 48 | WDWLW |
| 5 | Colorado Springs | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 44 | 38 | 6 | 47 | LWWWL |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 45 | WLLWL |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 43 | LDLDL |
| 6 | San Antonio | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 45 | WWLDW |
| 7 | FC Tulsa | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 43 | WDWLW |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 42 | LWWLD |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 40 | DDWLL |
| 8 | Miami FC | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 36 | DLLWD |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 34 | LLLLW |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 39 | WWDDW |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 31 | WWDDL |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 38 | LLLLW |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 30 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 30 | WLDLD |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 36 | DWWLL |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 24 | LLLDW |
| 12 | Brooklyn | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 34 | 63 | -29 | 21 | LLDWL |
| 13 | Sporting JAX | 30 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 32 | 78 | -46 | 14 | LLDWD |