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Liga Profesional Argentina

Estudiantes de La Plata vs Gimnasia M.

Correct score
1 - 0
Alternative score
1 - 1
Featured pick
Goals: Under 3.5 @ 1.25
Match page

Match analysis

Estudiantes are in the title race on a scoring rate of 1.2 goals a game, and Gimnasia Mendoza arrive in the relegation fight. Superior's position for Estudiantes vs Gimnasia Mendoza on 5 October is Under 3.5 goals at 1.25, which the model rates a 79 percent chance, with 1-0 to Estudiantes as its correct score.

Four of Estudiantes' last five finished with three goals or fewer

Estudiantes beat Corinthians 1-0 away and Platense 2-1 at home, drew 1-1 with Corinthians and lost 1-2 at Lanus. Gimnasia score 1.6 a game and drew 0-0 with Riestra on 19 September. The model turns each team's scoring and conceding strength into expected goals and prices the full score distribution, and four goals would need both sides to run well above those rates on the same night.

Gimnasia won 3-2 at Gimnasia La Plata and drew 2-2 with Boca

Two of Gimnasia's last five reached four goals, the 3-2 win at Gimnasia La Plata on 22 August and the 2-2 with Boca on 5 September. Estudiantes also lost 1-3 at home to Rosario Central on 26 September. A 2-2 or a 3-1 beats this pick, and those three results show both sides have reached four recently.

Bookmaker odds

Home1.72
Draw3.60
Away5.21
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.33
Under 1.52.83
Over 2.52.17
Under 2.51.69
Over 3.53.75
Under 3.51.19
Both teams to score
Yes2.02
No1.71
Odd/Even
Odd1.87
Even1.81
Handicap
Home -0.751.83
Away +0.751.81

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Match History

Head to Head

These two have never met in our records.

Recent Form

Head to Head

Estudiantes de La Plata vs Gimnasia M.: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
2 October 2026Platense1 - 0Estudiantes de La Plata
26 September 2026Estudiantes de La Plata1 - 3Rosario Central
22 September 2026Lanus2 - 1Estudiantes de La Plata
17 September 2026Corinthians0 - 1Estudiantes de La Plata
12 September 2026Estudiantes de La Plata2 - 1Platense

Head to Head

Gimnasia M. vs Estudiantes de La Plata: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
19 September 2026Gimnasia M.0 - 0Deportivo Riestra
11 September 2026Defensa Y Justicia2 - 0Gimnasia M.
5 September 2026Gimnasia M.2 - 2Boca Juniors
30 August 2026Independiente0 - 3Gimnasia M.
22 August 2026Gimnasia La Plata2 - 3Gimnasia M.
View Estudiantes de La Plata vs Gimnasia M. Prediction