Sabios Baloncesto vs Toros del Valle basketball prediction

Bet of the Day

Our pick:Away -13.5 incl. overtime

Odds 1.59

86%

Score prediction: 64-94

Bookmaker odds incl. overtime

Home9.70

Away1.01

Total points 157.25

Over1.81

Under1.81

Spread +18.5

Home1.78

Away1.80

Methodology

Match analysis

Toros del Valle beat Sabios Baloncesto by 49 points twice in three days this month, 89-40 and 108-59, so Toros -13.5 Including Overtime needs a fraction of those margins. Sabios have won 2 of 13 games this season, and Toros, at 27-4, are projected to win this one in Colombia's LBP by 30.

A 27-4 side visits a 2-11 side

Toros del Valle outscore opponents 87.3 to 67.4 a game, while Sabios are outscored 65.3 to 86.6. Set one attack against the other defence and the gap is around 20 points on season numbers alone. Toros also arrive scoring freely, with 106 and 107 points in their two latest games, both against Caribbean Storm Islands on 19 and 21 October.

Both October routs were played at Toros

Home court is the one thing that changes this time. Sabios' last home game was a 76-75 defeat by Caribbean Storm Islands on 11 October, the same side Toros have since beaten by 53 and 36. Even a Sabios performance well above their season numbers leaves a lot of ground to make up, since Toros are projected to finish more than double the 13.5 points clear.

Written by the Superior Basketball Desk