Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets basketball prediction
- Score prediction
- 115-114
Bookmaker odds incl. overtime
Match analysis
Superior backs Under 248.5 total points when Denver visit Oklahoma City, Including Overtime, with the game projected at 115-114. The Thunder have scored 116 or fewer in four of their last five games, and the projected 229 points leaves almost 20 points of room below the line.
Thunder games between 205 and 226 points
Four of Oklahoma City's last five finished in that range: a 116-104 win in San Antonio, a 116-89 defeat in Houston, 114-112 over Indiana and 113-110 at Atlanta. They average 110.8 points a game and allow 114.8.
Denver off since 17 October
The Nuggets have not played since a 121-106 win at the Lakers, so they arrive on five days' rest to the Thunder's two. They score 115.6 a game and concede 114.2, close to Oklahoma City at both ends, and the projection splits the points almost evenly.
The 129-126 meeting on 9 March
Three games in the two teams' recent record went past this line: Oklahoma City's 129-126 home win over Denver in March, their 128-126 home defeat by Milwaukee on 8 October and Denver's 133-128 win over Chicago on 12 October. The other four meetings since February came to 209, 232, 234 and 248 points.
Margin and totals
How big could the win be?
- Oklahoma City Thunder by 1
Show the numbers
| Margin | Oklahoma City Thunder | Denver Nuggets |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 55% | 45% |
| By 6+ | 41% | 31% |
| By 11+ | 29% | 21% |
| By 16+ | 18% | 13% |
| By 21+ | 11% | 8% |
How many points will fall?
Best bets
- Moneyline: Home
- Spread: Away +9.5
- Total Points: Under 251.5
Form and context
Oklahoma City Thunder
- Season record
- 2-4
- Points per game
- 110.8
- Points allowed
- 114.8
- Rest
- 2 d
- W116-104San Antonio Spurs
- L89-116Houston Rockets
- W114-112Indiana Pacers
- L110-113Atlanta Hawks
- L126-128Milwaukee Bucks
Denver Nuggets
- Season record
- 3-2
- Points per game
- 115.6
- Points allowed
- 114.2
- Rest
- 5 d
- W121-106Los Angeles Lakers
- L110-122Los Angeles Clippers
- W133-128Chicago Bulls
- W117-106Utah Jazz
- L97-109Utah Jazz
Head to head
- 15 Jul 26Oklahoma City Thunder103Denver Nuggets106
- 11 Apr 26Denver Nuggets127Oklahoma City Thunder107
- 9 Mar 26Oklahoma City Thunder129Denver Nuggets126
- 28 Feb 26Oklahoma City Thunder127Denver Nuggets121
- 2 Feb 26Denver Nuggets111Oklahoma City Thunder121