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KTP Basket Kotka vs Kouvot Kouvola basketball prediction

Korisliiga
Bet of the Day

Our pick:Home +9.5 incl. overtime

Odds 1.72

91%
Score prediction
93-80

Bookmaker odds incl. overtime

Home1.04price falling, opened at 3.52
Away6.39price rising, opened at 1.28
Total points 175 line moved from 175.5
Over1.74
Under1.75
Spread -13.5 line moved from +8
Home1.81
Away1.77

Match analysis

KTP Basket Kotka won 95-89 in Kouvola on Wednesday, and two days later Superior backs Kotka +9.5 in the return game at home, Including Overtime. Kotka are 6-0 this season, allowing 78.8 points a game, and the projection has them winning 93-80, so the points sit on top of a forecast home win.

Four of Kotka's last five wins came on the road

Kotka beat Kouvot 95-89, UU-Korihait 100-89 and Salon Vilpas Vikings 102-81 away from home this month, and the one home game in that run was an 88-72 win over Pyrinto Tampere on 9 October. They have scored at least 84 in every game of it, and both teams come in on two days' rest.

Kouvot's 24-point win in March 2025

Kouvot have beaten Kotka by more than this margin before, 108-84 on 15 March 2025 and 90-80 on 20 January this year. Both games were in Kouvola. Since then Kouvot have won one of six this season, a 95-76 win over Kataja, and lost at Lahti Basketball, at home to Kipinä Basket and at Tapiolan Honka, conceding 87.8 points a game.

Margin and totals

How big could the win be?

  • KTP Basket Kotka by 13
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginKTP Basket KotkaKouvot Kouvola
Wins75%25%
By 6+65%14%
By 11+53%7%
By 16+41%4%
By 21+29%2%

How many points will fall?

Best bets

Form and context

KTP Basket Kotka

Season record
6-0
Points per game
92.7
Points allowed
78.8
Rest
2 d
  1. W95-89Kouvot Kouvola
  2. W100-89UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
  3. W102-81Salon Vilpas Vikings
  4. W88-72Pyrinto Tampere
  5. W84-78Karhu Basket

Kouvot Kouvola

Season record
1-5
Points per game
85.3
Points allowed
87.8
Rest
2 d
  1. L89-95KTP Basket Kotka
  2. W95-76Kataja
  3. L83-91Lahti Basketball
  4. L80-89Kipinä Basket
  5. L91-99Tapiolan Honka

Head to head

  1. 21 Oct 26Kouvot Kouvola89KTP Basket Kotka95
  2. 20 Jan 26Kouvot Kouvola90KTP Basket Kotka80
  3. 14 Nov 25KTP Basket Kotka103Kouvot Kouvola76
  4. 15 Mar 25Kouvot Kouvola108KTP Basket Kotka84
  5. 8 Feb 25KTP Basket Kotka84Kouvot Kouvola76
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