Kretinga vs Zalgiris Kaunas 2 basketball prediction

Top pick 2

Our pick:Over 164 incl. overtime

Odds 1.25

83%

Score prediction: 89-91

Bookmaker odds incl. overtime

Home1.93

Away1.68

Total points 172.5

Over1.77

Under1.81

Spread +1.5

Home1.81

Away1.77

Methodology

Match analysis

Kretinga vs Zalgiris Kaunas 2 goes Over 164 points Including Overtime because the visitors cannot keep games quiet: they allow 97.3 points a game, and none of their last five finished below 172. Kretinga give up 88.9 a game themselves, and the two teams are projected to combine for 180.

Zalgiris 2 have not played a game under 172 since 8 October

Their last five ended 79-93, 92-104, 107-83, 94-106 and 87-108. Zalgiris 2 score 96.3 a game and concede 97.3, and four of those five were defeats in which the opponent passed 90, so their games run high at both ends of the floor.

Kretinga's last two road games stayed lower

Kretinga lost 90-70 at Alytaus Patriotai on Thursday and won 84-72 at Kauno Atletas on 17 October, 160 and 156 points, both under this line. Their three games before that reached 171, 194 and 183, and this one is at home, where they conceded 88 and 99 in their two latest outings.

Three of five meetings cleared 164

The latest was a 104-64 Zalgiris 2 win in Kretinga in February, a 168-point game, and the one before it finished 91-86. The two that stayed under the line, 160 and 155, were played in January 2025 and October 2024.

Written by the Superior Basketball Desk