Atlanta Dream Women vs Golden State Valkyries Women basketball prediction

Top pick 3

Our pick:Home +6.5 incl. overtime

Odds 1.30

82%

Score prediction: 81-76

Bookmaker odds incl. overtime

Home1.55

Away2.44

Total points 153

Over1.89

Under1.89

Spread -3.5

Home1.88

Away1.92

Methodology

Match analysis

Golden State Valkyries score 81.6 points a game and allow 75.8, so even their wins tend to be narrow, and their three over Atlanta Dream since 27 June came by 3, 4 and 5 points. Atlanta +6.5 Including Overtime covers margins like those, and Atlanta won the last two meetings 79-65 and 97-71 before Saturday's game at home.

Golden State win close or not at all

Atlanta are the higher-scoring side, 90.4 points a game against 83.3 allowed, and they are projected to win this one 81-76. The Valkyries' three wins finished 78-75 and 88-83 in the summer and 68-64 on 17 October. Atlanta have since taken two in a row, 79-65 on the Valkyries' floor and 97-71 at home on Thursday, scoring at least 79 in both against a defence that usually gives up fewer. With two days of rest for each side and the game in Atlanta, the Valkyries need their widest win over this opponent since June.

Written by the Superior Basketball Desk