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Partizan Mozzart Bet vs Crvena zvezda basketball prediction

Euroleague
Partizan Mozzart Bet
vs
Crvena zvezda
Top pick 4

Our pick:Under 176.5 incl. overtime

Odds 1.27

80%
Score prediction
81-80

Bookmaker odds incl. overtime

Home1.93price rising, opened at 1.49
Away1.88price falling, opened at 2.63
Total points 164.5
Over1.91price rising, opened at 1.90
Under1.89price falling, opened at 1.90
Spread +1 line moved from -4.5
Home1.87
Away1.93
Methodology
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Match analysis

Games involving Partizan in this Euroleague season have averaged 156.2 points and those involving Crvena zvezda 157.0, about 20 below the line, so the Under 176.5, Including Overtime, starts the Belgrade derby with room to spare. The danger comes from the derby itself, since two of their five meetings since March went past it.

Partizan held to 55 by Panathinaikos

Partizan were held to 55 at home by Panathinaikos on 13 October and to 65 at Fenerbahce two days later, and only their 99-78 win over Vienna went past 176. Zvezda's five straight wins finished between 135 and 192, with the 101-91 game against Buducnost the one above this line.

194 and 196 in the spring derbies

Two of the last five meetings went over this line, Partizan's 100-94 home win on 18 May (194 points) and Zvezda's 100-96 home win on 22 March (196). The other three finished at 155, 167 and 171, and Partizan won four of the five.

Projected at 81-80

Superior projects Partizan 81 and Zvezda 80, a 161-point game that leaves 15.5 points spare, and both sides come in on four days of rest.

Written by the Superior Basketball Desk

Margin and totals

How big could the win be?

  • Partizan Mozzart Bet by 1
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginPartizan Mozzart BetCrvena zvezda
Wins53%47%
By 6+35%30%
By 11+20%17%
By 16+10%8%
By 21+4%3%

How many points will fall?

Best bets

  • Moneyline: Home53%
  • Spread: Home +9.581%

Form and context

Partizan Mozzart Bet

Season record
3-3
Points per game
77.7
Points allowed
78.5
Rest
4 d
  1. W89-84KK Bosna
  2. L65-74Fenerbahce
  3. L55-72Panathinaikos
  4. W99-78Vienna Basket
  5. L76-86Real Madrid

Crvena zvezda

Season record
4-2
Points per game
80.8
Points allowed
76.2
Rest
4 d
  1. W97-78KK Krka Novo Mesto
  2. W90-81Paris Basketball
  3. W84-82Lyon-Villeurbanne
  4. W101-91Buducnost VOLI Podgorica
  5. W77-58Dubai

Head to head

  1. 21 May 26Crvena zvezda78Partizan Mozzart Bet89
  2. 18 May 26Partizan Mozzart Bet100Crvena zvezda94
  3. 19 Apr 26Partizan Mozzart Bet81Crvena zvezda74
  4. 2 Apr 26Crvena zvezda82Partizan Mozzart Bet89
  5. 22 Mar 26Crvena zvezda100Partizan Mozzart Bet96

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