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Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors basketball prediction

NBAFull time
Bet of the Day

Our pick:Under 248.5 incl. overtime

Odds 1.25Won

93%
Score prediction
108-111

Bookmaker odds incl. overtime

Home1.42price falling, opened at 1.45
Away2.88price rising, opened at 2.75
Total points 234 line moved from 232.5
Over1.91
Under1.89
Spread -7 line moved from -5.5
Home1.90
Away1.90

Match analysis

The Lakers have not reached 100 points in either meeting with Golden State this month, scoring 98 on 7 October and 89 a week later, and that is the base of Under 248.5 points, Including Overtime. The forecast is a 111-108 Warriors win, 219 points in all, close to 30 under the line.

No game past 246 for either side since 6 October

Counting the two meetings once, these clubs have played eight different games since 6 October. The highest was the Warriors' 128-118 home win over Portland on 17 October, 246 points, and their 123-118 defeat in Portland nine days earlier was the only other game above 230. The Lakers' five finished between 190 and 230, and this season they score 106.8 a game and allow 111.8.

Fourteen and a half points above the main total

Bookmakers opened the main total at 232.5 and have nudged it to 234, which still leaves 14.5 points between their standard line and this one. A 1.25 price works out to a break-even rate near 80 percent before the margin, and Superior's chance for this Under is 93%. Both teams arrive rested, the Lakers after four days off and the Warriors after five.

Margin and totals

How big could the win be?

  • Golden State Warriors by 3
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginLos Angeles LakersGolden State Warriors
Wins45%55%
By 6+32%42%
By 11+20%29%
By 16+12%19%
By 21+6%12%

How many points will fall?

Best bets

  • Moneyline: Away55%Lost
  • Spread: Away +9.577%Lost

Form and context

Los Angeles Lakers

Season record
2-3
Points per game
106.8
Points allowed
111.8
Rest
4 d
  1. L106-121Denver Nuggets
  2. L89-101Golden State Warriors
  3. W114-110Sacramento Kings
  4. L98-124Golden State Warriors
  5. W127-103Sacramento Kings

Golden State Warriors

Season record
4-2
Points per game
113.8
Points allowed
106.3
Rest
5 d
  1. W128-118Portland Trail Blazers
  2. W101-89Los Angeles Lakers
  3. W111-106Sacramento Kings
  4. L118-123Portland Trail Blazers
  5. W124-98Los Angeles Lakers

Head to head

  1. 14 Oct 26Los Angeles Lakers89Golden State Warriors101
  2. 7 Oct 26Golden State Warriors124Los Angeles Lakers98
  3. 19 Jul 26Los Angeles Lakers88Golden State Warriors92
  4. 4 Jul 26Golden State Warriors104Los Angeles Lakers72
  5. 10 Apr 26Golden State Warriors103Los Angeles Lakers119

Match highlights

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