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Atlanta Dream Women vs Golden State Valkyries Women basketball prediction

NBA WomenFull time
Top pick 2

Our pick:Over 140.5 incl. overtime

Odds 1.25Won

84%
Score prediction
81-77

Bookmaker odds incl. overtime

Home1.77
Away2.04
Total points 153
Over1.89
Under1.89
Spread -1.5
Home1.89
Away1.91

Match analysis

Atlanta have scored 101 and 92 in their last two home games, and this is their first home date with Golden State this month, which is what carries the Over 140.5, Including Overtime. Superior projects 81 points for the Dream and 77 for the Valkyries, a 158-point game.

Atlanta's 199 and 174 against New York

The Dream beat New York 101-98 and 92-82 at home on 7 and 4 October, and across the season they score 90.3 points a game and allow 83.5. Golden State have the tighter defence, allowing 75.4 a game, and that is why the projection stops well short of Atlanta's home pace.

Golden State's 131 and 132

The real threat sits in the Valkyries' own games. Their 71-60 home win over Las Vegas on 4 October totalled 131, and their 68-64 win over Atlanta on 17 October came to 132. The rematch on 20 October went 79-65 to the Dream, 144 points, with Atlanta scoring 15 more than three days earlier. Bookmakers have the main total at 153, and the projection of 158 sits above even that.

Margin and totals

How big could the win be?

  • Atlanta Dream Women by 4
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginAtlanta Dream WomenGolden State Valkyries Women
Wins62%38%
By 6+47%24%
By 11+32%14%
By 16+19%7%
By 21+11%3%

How many points will fall?

Best bets

  • Moneyline: Home62%Won
  • Spread: Home +7.580%Won

Form and context

Atlanta Dream Women

Season record
37-16
Points per game
90.3
Points allowed
83.5
Rest
2 d
  1. W79-65Golden State Valkyries Women
  2. L64-68Golden State Valkyries Women
  3. W85-83New York Liberty Women
  4. W101-98New York Liberty Women
  5. W92-82New York Liberty Women

Golden State Valkyries Women

Season record
38-14
Points per game
81.8
Points allowed
75.4
Rest
2 d
  1. L65-79Atlanta Dream Women
  2. W68-64Atlanta Dream Women
  3. W87-77Las Vegas Aces Women
  4. W83-81Las Vegas Aces Women
  5. W71-60Las Vegas Aces Women

Head to head

  1. 20 Oct 26Golden State Valkyries Women65Atlanta Dream Women79
  2. 17 Oct 26Golden State Valkyries Women68Atlanta Dream Women64
  3. 4 Jul 26Atlanta Dream Women83Golden State Valkyries Women88
  4. 27 Jun 26Golden State Valkyries Women78Atlanta Dream Women75
  5. 25 Jun 26Golden State Valkyries Women77Atlanta Dream Women66

Match highlights

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