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Ticket analysis

Every one of Nottingham Forest's last five games finished under 11.5 corners, the 2-2 at Liverpool included, and that run backs Under 11.5 when Arsenal visit on Sunday. Over 6.5 corners in Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Ameliano completes the two-game accumulator at total odds of 1.64.

Sportivo Ameliano score once or not at all

Sportivo Ameliano have scored one goal or none in each of their last five, and the five meetings with Cerro Porteno since July 2025 never produced more than two goals: Cerro won three of them 1-0, 2-0 and 1-0, drew 1-1 in April and lost 1-0 away in August. Cerro are priced at 1.60 at home, and a favourite against a side that rarely scores spends most of the game in the visitors' half, which is where corners are won.

Forest's corner run held in open games too

The Forest record covers a 3-1 defeat at Crystal Palace and a 2-1 win at Aston Villa as well as the 0-0 with Tottenham, so it held whether goals came or not. Against an Arsenal side that has scored at least twice in four of its last five, Forest are the team more likely to be defending than winning corners.

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