Newroz vs Mosul Prediction - September 9, 2026

Iraqi LeagueIraqFull time
Newroz
3:0
Mosul
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-2

Goals: Over 1.51.30Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.05
Draw3.13
Away3.41

This line has not moved since it opened on Sep 9.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.28
Under 1.53.08
Over 2.51.94
Under 2.51.75
Over 3.53.20
Under 3.51.26
Both teams to score
Yes1.74price falling, opened at 1.75
No1.94price rising, opened at 1.93
Odd/Even
Odd1.87
Even1.77
Handicap
Home -0.251.76
Away +0.251.92

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Newroz vs Mosul?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Newroz and Mosul average 2.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-110.7%Projected
  2. 1-29.2%Alternative
  3. 0-17.7%
  4. 2-17.4%
  5. 0-26.6%

Top five combined: 41.6%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeNewrozxG1.39
AwayMosulxG1.72
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
4.5%
6.2%
4.3%
2.0%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
1
7.7%
11%
7.4%
3.4%
1.2%
0.3%
0.1%
2
6.6%
9.2%
6.4%
2.9%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
3
3.8%
5.3%
3.7%
1.7%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
4
1.6%
2.3%
1.6%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
5
0.6%
0.8%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 61.6%38.4% No
Over 1.5 81.7%18.3% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 60.1%39.9% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 37.7%62.3% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Newroz win and over 2.5 goals20.6%
Newroz win and both teams score17.7%
Mosul win and over 2.5 goals31.1%
Draw and under 2.5 goals15.1%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Newroz or draw54.6%
Mosul or draw68.9%
Either team wins76.5%
Draw no bet: Newroz40.7%
Draw no bet: Mosul59.3%
Newroz win to nil13.4%
Mosul win to nil20.5%
Team goals
Newroz to score75.1%
Mosul to score82.1%
Newroz over 1.5 goals40.4%
Mosul over 1.5 goals51.3%
Newroz clean sheet17.9%
Mosul clean sheet24.9%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.93

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Newroz vs Mosul
Head to Head

Head to Head

Newroz vs Mosul: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
February 6, 2026Mosul0 - 2Newroz
League Table

League Table

Iraqi LeagueIraq · 2025/2026
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
13827836228+3489
23824866932+3780
338231055932+2779
438171565032+1866
538171475326+2765
638181195338+1565
7381612105141+1060
838166164847+154
9381411134945+453
10381311144445-150
11381310154042-249
12381115123334-148
13381114134649-347
14381111164043-344
15381110174857-943
1638913163847-940
1737115214456-1238
1838107214768-2137
193765263168-3723
203806322196-756
Champions LeagueRelegation
Iraqi League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Al Quwa Al Jawiya38278362283489WWWWL
2Al Shorta38248669323780DWLWW
3Erbil382310559322779WWWLW
4Al Zawra'a381715650321866LLLDW
5Al-Karma381714753262765WWDDW
6Al Talaba381811953381565DDDLD
7Al Karkh3816121051411060DLWDW
8Newroz38166164847154LDWWL
9Zakho381411134945453LLDLD
10Duhok381311144445-150LLDDW
11Diyala381310154042-249WLLLW
12Naft381115123334-148WWDDL
13Mosul381114134649-347WDLDD
14Gharraf381111164043-344LWDDL
15Naft Maysan381110174857-943WLWWD
16Al Minaa Basra38913163847-940DDDWD
17Al Kahrabaa37115214456-1238LWDWW
18Baghdad38107214768-2137LLWLL
19Al Najaf3765263168-3723WWLLD
20Al-Qasim3806322196-756LLLDL