Al-Karma vs Naft Prediction - September 9, 2026

Iraqi LeagueIraqFull time
Al-Karma
3:0
Naft
Projected scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.21Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.73price rising, opened at 1.70
Draw3.22price falling, opened at 3.24
Away4.70price falling, opened at 4.90

Market move since Sep 9. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.36
Under 1.52.69price falling, opened at 2.70
Over 2.52.21price rising, opened at 2.19
Under 2.51.58price falling, opened at 1.59
Over 3.54.00price rising, opened at 3.96
Under 3.51.17
Both teams to score
Yes2.03price falling, opened at 2.04
No1.67
Odd/Even
Odd1.86
Even1.78
Handicap
Home -0.751.92price rising, opened at 1.89
Away +0.751.71price falling, opened at 1.74

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Al-Karma vs Naft?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Al-Karma are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Al-Karma and Naft average 2.8 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-015.2%Projected
  2. 2-014.4%
  3. 1-19.5%Alternative
  4. 3-09.1%
  5. 2-19.0%

Top five combined: 57.2%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeAl-KarmaxG1.90
AwayNaftxG0.63
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
8.0%
15%
14%
9.1%
4.3%
1.6%
0.7%
1
5.0%
9.5%
9.0%
5.7%
2.7%
1.0%
0.4%
2
1.6%
3.0%
2.8%
1.8%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
3
0.3%
0.6%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
4
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 39.6%60.4% No
Over 1.5 71.8%28.2% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 46.3%53.7% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 24.8%75.2% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Al-Karma win and over 2.5 goals38.1%
Al-Karma win and both teams score22.3%
Naft win and over 2.5 goals4.9%
Draw and under 2.5 goals17.5%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Al-Karma or draw88.5%
Naft or draw32.3%
Either team wins79.2%
Draw no bet: Al-Karma85.5%
Draw no bet: Naft14.5%
Al-Karma win to nil45.4%
Naft win to nil7.0%
Team goals
Al-Karma to score85.0%
Naft to score46.6%
Al-Karma over 1.5 goals56.5%
Naft over 1.5 goals13.1%
Al-Karma clean sheet53.4%
Naft clean sheet15.0%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.93

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Head to Head

Head to Head

Al-Karma vs Naft: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
September 20, 2025Al-Karma2 - 1Naft
League Table

League Table

Iraqi LeagueIraq · 2025/2026
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
13827836228+3489
23824866932+3780
338231055932+2779
438171565032+1866
538171475326+2765
638181195338+1565
7381612105141+1060
838166164847+154
9381411134945+453
10381311144445-150
11381310154042-249
12381115123334-148
13381114134649-347
14381111164043-344
15381110174857-943
1638913163847-940
1737115214456-1238
1838107214768-2137
193765263168-3723
203806322196-756
Champions LeagueRelegation
Iraqi League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Al Quwa Al Jawiya38278362283489WWWWL
2Al Shorta38248669323780DWLWW
3Erbil382310559322779WWWLW
4Al Zawra'a381715650321866LLLDW
5Al-Karma381714753262765WWDDW
6Al Talaba381811953381565DDDLD
7Al Karkh3816121051411060DLWDW
8Newroz38166164847154LDWWL
9Zakho381411134945453LLDLD
10Duhok381311144445-150LLDDW
11Diyala381310154042-249WLLLW
12Naft381115123334-148WWDDL
13Mosul381114134649-347WDLDD
14Gharraf381111164043-344LWDDL
15Naft Maysan381110174857-943WLWWD
16Al Minaa Basra38913163847-940DDDWD
17Al Kahrabaa37115214456-1238LWDWW
18Baghdad38107214768-2137LLWLL
19Al Najaf3765263168-3723WWLLD
20Al-Qasim3806322196-756LLLDL