Kauno Žalgiris vs Suduva Marijampole Prediction - September 9, 2026

A LygaLithuaniaFull time
Kauno Žalgiris
5:1
Suduva Marijampole
Projected scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.33Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.82price rising, opened at 1.68
Draw3.30price falling, opened at 3.60
Away4.02price falling, opened at 4.54

Market move since Sep 6. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.31
Under 1.52.92
Over 2.52.02
Under 2.51.69
Over 3.53.50
Under 3.51.22
Both teams to score
Yes1.86
No1.81
Odd/Even
Odd1.84
Even1.80
Handicap
Home -0.752.02
Away +0.751.64

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Kauno Žalgiris vs Suduva Marijampole?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Kauno Žalgiris are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Markets to consider

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Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-014.4%Projected
  2. 1-113.1%Alternative
  3. 0-011.4%
  4. 0-110.4%
  5. 2-09.0%

Top five combined: 58.3%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeKauno ŽalgirisxG1.26
AwaySuduva MarijampolexG0.91
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
11%
14%
9.0%
3.8%
1.2%
0.3%
0.1%
1
10%
13%
8.2%
3.5%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
2
4.7%
6.0%
3.7%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
3
1.4%
1.8%
1.1%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
4
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 42.8%57.2% No
Over 1.5 63.8%36.2% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 36.9%63.1% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 17.4%82.6% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Kauno Žalgiris win and over 2.5 goals20.9%
Kauno Žalgiris win and both teams score15.5%
Suduva Marijampole win and over 2.5 goals11.7%
Draw and under 2.5 goals24.5%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Kauno Žalgiris or draw73.2%
Suduva Marijampole or draw55.6%
Either team wins71.2%
Draw no bet: Kauno Žalgiris62.3%
Draw no bet: Suduva Marijampole37.7%
Kauno Žalgiris win to nil28.8%
Suduva Marijampole win to nil17.0%
Team goals
Kauno Žalgiris to score71.6%
Suduva Marijampole to score59.8%
Kauno Žalgiris over 1.5 goals35.8%
Suduva Marijampole over 1.5 goals23.1%
Kauno Žalgiris clean sheet40.2%
Suduva Marijampole clean sheet28.4%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Kauno Žalgiris vs Suduva Marijampole
Head to Head

Head to Head

Kauno Žalgiris vs Suduva Marijampole: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
May 23, 2026Suduva Marijampole2 - 1Kauno Žalgiris
March 21, 2026Kauno Žalgiris1 - 1Suduva Marijampole
January 17, 2026Suduva Marijampole0 - 4Kauno Žalgiris
October 27, 2025Suduva Marijampole1 - 0Kauno Žalgiris
September 24, 2025Kauno Žalgiris1 - 1Suduva Marijampole
League Table

League Table

A LygaLithuania · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12513933719+1848
22411944616+3042
32512493829+940
42611693734+339
52610882925+438
62710893638-238
72795132942-1332
827412113047-1724
92737172456-3216
1000000000
A Lyga - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Suduva Marijampole25139337191848WDWWW
2Kauno Žalgiris24119446163042WWDWL
3FK Zalgiris Vilnius2512493829940WWWDL
4TransINVEST Vilnius2611693734339WWLLD
5Banga2610882925438WLWWW
6Džiugas Telšiai2710893638-238DLWDD
7Panevėžys2795132942-1332DLDLW
8Hegelmann Litauen27412113047-1724LLWLD
9Šiauliai2737172456-3216LLLLL
10FK Trakai00000000LLLLL