Deportivo Maldonado vs Wanderers Prediction - September 9, 2026

Copa UruguayUruguayFull time
Deportivo Maldonado
4:1
Wanderers
Correct scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.29Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.61price falling, opened at 1.97
Draw3.60price rising, opened at 3.18
Away4.93price rising, opened at 3.61

Market move since Sep 6. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.23price falling, opened at 1.31
Under 1.53.42price rising, opened at 2.92
Over 2.51.85price falling, opened at 2.04
Under 2.51.84price rising, opened at 1.69
Over 3.53.08price falling, opened at 3.50
Under 3.51.28price rising, opened at 1.22
Both teams to score
Yes1.82price falling, opened at 1.83
No1.85price falling, opened at 1.86
Odd/Even
Odd1.84price falling, opened at 1.86
Even1.80
Handicap
Home -0.751.77
Away +0.751.85

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Deportivo Maldonado vs Wanderers?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Deportivo Maldonado are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Deportivo Maldonado and Wanderers average 2.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-014.3%Our score
  2. 1-112.5%Alternative
  3. 2-010.2%
  4. 0-010.0%
  5. 2-18.9%

Top five combined: 55.9%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeDeportivo MaldonadoxG1.43
AwayWanderersxG0.87
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
10.0%
14%
10%
4.9%
1.7%
0.5%
0.1%
1
8.7%
12%
8.9%
4.3%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
2
3.8%
5.4%
3.9%
1.9%
0.7%
0.2%
<0.1%
3
1.1%
1.6%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 44.3%55.7% No
Over 1.5 67.0%33.0% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 40.5%59.5% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 20.1%79.9% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Deportivo Maldonado win and over 2.5 goals25.6%
Deportivo Maldonado win and both teams score18.3%
Wanderers win and over 2.5 goals10.4%
Draw and under 2.5 goals22.5%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Deportivo Maldonado or draw77.0%
Wanderers or draw49.9%
Either team wins73.1%
Draw no bet: Deportivo Maldonado68.6%
Draw no bet: Wanderers31.4%
Deportivo Maldonado win to nil31.8%
Wanderers win to nil13.9%
Team goals
Deportivo Maldonado to score76.1%
Wanderers to score58.2%
Deportivo Maldonado over 1.5 goals41.9%
Wanderers over 1.5 goals21.8%
Deportivo Maldonado clean sheet41.8%
Wanderers clean sheet23.9%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.61

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Deportivo Maldonado vs Wanderers
Head to Head

Head to Head

Deportivo Maldonado
2 - 0
Wanderers
September 5, 2026
Wanderers
1 - 1
Deportivo Maldonado
May 24, 2026
Wanderers
0 - 0
Deportivo Maldonado
March 6, 2026
Deportivo Maldonado vs Wanderers: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
September 5, 2026Deportivo Maldonado2 - 0Wanderers
May 24, 2026Wanderers1 - 1Deportivo Maldonado
March 6, 2026Wanderers0 - 0Deportivo Maldonado