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Sunderland vs Hull City Prediction - 8 September 2026

League CupEnglandFull time
Sunderland
1-0
Hull City

Our pick:Under 3.5 goals

86%Odds 1.35Won

Correct score1-0Alternative0-0

5/5 Under 3.5 goals Sunderland · last 5 games

Form

Sunderland
  1. D 1-1
  2. W 1-0
  3. L 1-2
  4. W 2-1
  5. W 2-0
Hull City
  1. D 0-0
  2. W 1-0
  3. D 1-1
  4. W 2-0
  5. D 0-0

Bookmaker odds

Home1.70
Draw3.78
Away4.96
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.26
Under 1.53.44
Over 2.51.93
Under 2.51.88
Over 3.53.26
Under 3.51.28
Both teams to score
Yes1.85
No1.87
Odd/Even
Odd1.87
Even1.83
Handicap
Home -0.751.85
Away +0.751.87
Methodology

Match highlights

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Match analysis

Strip out one 5-1 rout and Sunderland's last five have been tight, low-scoring wins, the shape behind Superior's Under 3.5 pick for their League Cup tie with Hull City on 8 September at 1.35, rated 73 percent by the model. Hull City have matched that pattern from the other side, conceding more than once only once in the same stretch.

Three 1-0 and 2-0 wins outnumber the one blowout

Sunderland's five games have produced a 1-0, two 2-0s and a 2-1, with only a 5-1 midweek win breaking the pattern. Hull City have been just as tight at the other end, winning 1-0 and 2-0 of their own and drawing the other two 0-0 and 1-1. Strip out Sunderland's outlier and the pair average close to a goal and a half each, well shy of this line.

Hull City's defence has barely been opened up

Hull have conceded more than once in only one of their last five, a narrow 1-2 loss. A cup tie between a defence that has held that well and a home side whose scoring, once the anomaly is removed, sits in the same low range favours a tight total over a repeat blowout.

A repeat of Sunderland's 5-1 is what beats this

Under 3.5 loses at four goals or more, and Sunderland have already shown they can produce exactly that kind of scoreline once this month. If their front line finds the same space it did in that 5-1 win, or Hull's defence has an off night in front of an away crowd, the total clears with room to spare.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

More tips for this game

  • Goals: Under 3.5Won1.35
  • Goals: Under 2.5Won1.92
  • BTTS: NoWon1.93
Compare bookmakers

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After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-017.3%Our score
  2. 0-014.0%Alternative
  3. 1-112.6%
  4. 2-010.7%
  5. 0-110.2%

Top five combined: 64.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeSunderlandxG1.24
AwayHull CityxG0.73
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
14%
17%
11%
4.4%
1.4%
0.3%
<0.1%
1
10%
13%
7.8%
3.2%
1.0%
0.2%
<0.1%
2
3.7%
4.6%
2.8%
1.2%
0.4%
<0.1%
<0.1%
3
0.9%
1.1%
0.7%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 36.7%63.3% No
Over 1.5 58.4%41.6% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 31.4%68.6% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 13.6%86.4% Under 3.5

Combos

  1. Draw and under 2.5 goals26.7%
  2. Sunderland win and over 2.5 goals20.3%
  3. Sunderland win and both teams score14.1%
  4. Hull City win and over 2.5 goals8.0%
SunderlandHull City
Outcome markets
Win or draw78.1%51.7%
Draw no bet68.8%31.2%
Win to nil34.2%15.1%
Either team wins70.2%
Team goals
To score70.9%51.8%
Over 1.5 goals35.0%16.6%
Clean sheet48.2%29.1%

Premium

  • Match highlights
  • Top five correct scores
  • Goals and BTTS chances
  • Combos
  • Custom Acca Builder

Today's acca

2 games, total odds 1.66
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Formations

Confirmed formations

Sunderland: 4-2-3-1(confirmed lineup)Hull City: 4-2-3-1(confirmed lineup)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Sunderland vs Hull City