O'Higgins vs Union La Calera Prediction - September 6, 2026

Primera DivisionChileFull time
O'Higgins
2:1
Union La Calera
Projected scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:0-0

Goals: Under 3.51.36Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.70price falling, opened at 1.78
Draw3.50price falling, opened at 3.62
Away4.38price rising, opened at 4.24

Market move since Sep 3. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.24
Under 1.53.50price rising, opened at 3.34
Over 2.51.81price falling, opened at 1.88
Under 2.51.90price rising, opened at 1.88
Over 3.53.00price falling, opened at 3.05
Under 3.51.33price rising, opened at 1.28
Both teams to score
Yes1.80price rising, opened at 1.77
No1.92price falling, opened at 1.95
Odd/Even
Odd1.88price rising, opened at 1.86
Even1.82price falling, opened at 1.84
Handicap
Home -0.751.94
Away +0.751.77price rising, opened at 1.72

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for O'Higgins vs Union La Calera?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 0-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: O'Higgins are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Match analysis

Three of O'Higgins' last five matches have finished with a single goal or none at all, and that pattern extends to Sunday's visitors too, which is why Superior prices Under 3.5 goals at 1.36 for O'Higgins against Union La Calera in Chile's Primera Division on 6 September, an 80 percent model probability.

A 1-3 home defeat is the one to watch, not the trend

O'Higgins have alternated win, loss, draw, loss, win across their last five, and three of those five matches finished with a single goal or none at all. Union La Calera arrive having lost three of their last five without scoring more than once in any of them, including back to back 1-2 and 0-1 defeats. Both sides are fighting the bottom of the table, O'Higgins 11th and Union La Calera bottom of 16, which tends to produce cagey, low-event football rather than end to end goals.

The h2h has gone big before

LOSES IF: four or more goals combined. The last meeting between these two, in March, finished 3-3, so this fixture has produced a shootout within the last six months. If Union La Calera's front line clicks the way it did that day, or O'Higgins' defence has one of its 1-3 afternoons again, the goals return and the bet loses. That is the genuine risk sitting under an 80 percent number.

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Markets to consider

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-022.5%Projected
  2. 0-017.9%Alternative
  3. 2-014.1%
  4. 1-110.4%
  5. 0-18.3%

Top five combined: 73.2%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeO'HigginsxG1.25
AwayUnion La CaleraxG0.46
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
18%
23%
14%
5.9%
1.9%
0.5%
0.1%
1
8.3%
10%
6.5%
2.7%
0.9%
0.2%
0.1%
2
1.9%
2.4%
1.5%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
3
0.3%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
4
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 26.5%73.5% No
Over 1.5 51.2%48.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 24.7%75.3% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 9.6%90.4% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

O'Higgins win and over 2.5 goals19.7%
O'Higgins win and both teams score11.3%
Union La Calera win and over 2.5 goals3.4%
Draw and under 2.5 goals28.4%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
O'Higgins or draw86.3%
Union La Calera or draw43.7%
Either team wins70.0%
Draw no bet: O'Higgins80.5%
Draw no bet: Union La Calera19.5%
O'Higgins win to nil45.0%
Union La Calera win to nil10.6%
Team goals
O'Higgins to score71.5%
Union La Calera to score37.1%
O'Higgins over 1.5 goals35.7%
Union La Calera over 1.5 goals7.9%
O'Higgins clean sheet62.9%
Union La Calera clean sheet28.5%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

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Team news

Expected formations

Union La Calera: 3-4-2-1(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: O'Higgins vs Union La Calera
Head to Head

Head to Head

O'Higgins vs Union La Calera: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
March 16, 2026Union La Calera3 - 3O'Higgins
August 3, 2025O'Higgins1 - 0Union La Calera
League Table

League Table

Primera DivisionChile · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12217234721+2653
32211653219+1339
3178363826+1227
42210483330+334
5229673424+1033
6228862728-132
7219394034+630
82293102425-130
9227963435-130
10218582928+129
112283112835-727
12226792531-625
132174102939-1025
13174762530-519
142265111736-1923
152163123139-821
162235141840-2214
Primera Division - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Colo Colo22172347212653WWWWW
3Universidad de Chile22116532191339WWWDW
3U. Catolica1783638261227LDWWL
4Palestino2210483330334WLWDW
5Everton de Vina2296734241033LDLWD
6Nublense228862728-132WDWDL
7Deportes Limache219394034630LLLLL
8Concepción2293102425-130WWWLW
9Deportes La Serena227963435-130
10Coquimbo Unido218582928129LDWDW
11O'Higgins2283112835-727WLLDL
12A. Italiano226792531-625WLDDW
13Huachipato2174102939-1025LDDLL
13D. La Serena174762530-519LDDLW
14Universidad de Concepcion2265111736-1923LLDDW
15Cobresal2163123139-821WDLLL
16Union La Calera2235141840-2214LDDDL