Lokomotiv Sofia vs Ludogorets Prediction - September 6, 2026

First LeagueBulgariaFull time
Lokomotiv Sofia
1:2
Ludogorets
Projected scoreOur pick
0-1

Alternative:0-0

Goals: Under 3.51.37Won

Bookmaker odds

Home6.25price rising, opened at 5.80
Draw4.05price rising, opened at 3.98
Away1.50price falling, opened at 1.54

Market move since Sep 3. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.21
Under 1.53.58
Over 2.51.81
Under 2.51.95
Over 3.52.92
Under 3.51.31
Both teams to score
Yes1.87price rising, opened at 1.85
No1.83price falling, opened at 1.85
Odd/Even
Odd1.87
Even1.83
Handicap
Home +11.88price rising, opened at 1.83
Away -11.85price falling, opened at 1.90

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Sofia vs Ludogorets?

The model's leading scoreline is 0 - 1, with 0-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Ludogorets are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Lokomotiv Sofia and Ludogorets average 2.8 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 0-119.2%Projected
  2. 0-214.2%
  3. 0-013.0%Alternative
  4. 1-110.8%
  5. 1-28.0%

Top five combined: 65.2%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeLokomotiv SofiaxG0.56
AwayLudogoretsxG1.48
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13%
7.3%
2.0%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
1
19%
11%
3.0%
0.6%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
2
14%
8.0%
2.2%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
3
7.0%
3.9%
1.1%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
4
2.6%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.8%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 33.2%66.8% No
Over 1.5 60.5%39.5% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 33.5%66.5% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 15.1%84.9% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Lokomotiv Sofia win and over 2.5 goals4.7%
Lokomotiv Sofia win and both teams score4.2%
Ludogorets win and over 2.5 goals26.4%
Draw and under 2.5 goals23.8%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Lokomotiv Sofia or draw40.2%
Ludogorets or draw86.0%
Either team wins73.8%
Draw no bet: Lokomotiv Sofia19.0%
Draw no bet: Ludogorets81.0%
Lokomotiv Sofia win to nil9.8%
Ludogorets win to nil44.0%
Team goals
Lokomotiv Sofia to score43.0%
Ludogorets to score77.2%
Lokomotiv Sofia over 1.5 goals11.0%
Ludogorets over 1.5 goals43.6%
Lokomotiv Sofia clean sheet22.8%
Ludogorets clean sheet57.0%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 2.10

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Lokomotiv Sofia vs Ludogorets
Head to Head

Head to Head

Lokomotiv Sofia vs Ludogorets: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
February 7, 2026Lokomotiv Sofia1 - 3Ludogorets
August 17, 2025Ludogorets0 - 0Lokomotiv Sofia
March 9, 2025Lokomotiv Sofia1 - 2Ludogorets
League Table

League Table

First LeagueBulgaria · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
18800214+1724
28620146+820
2330051+49
37520175+1217
48512158+716
58512137+616
683141114-310
782331014-49
88224713-68
9714276+17
108215717-107
118206410-66
128116817-94
137115714-74
147034814-63
Relegation
First League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Levski Sofia88002141724WWW
2Ludogorets8620146820WWW
2Ludogorets Razgrad33005149
3CSKA Sofia75201751217WWD
4CSKA 19488512158716WWD
5Arda Kardzhali8512137616LWD
6Botev Plovdiv83141114-310WLD
7Spartak Varna82331014-49WWD
8Septemvri Sofia8224713-68LLD
9Slavia Sofia71427617DLD
10Botev Vratsa8215717-107LLD
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv8206410-66LWL
12Cherno More Varna8116817-94LLD
13Dunav Ruse7115714-74LLL
14Lokomotiv Sofia7034814-63DLD