Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna Prediction - September 6, 2026

First LeagueBulgariaFull time
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1:0
Cherno More Varna
Projected scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.22Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.68price rising, opened at 2.52
Draw2.91price falling, opened at 2.96
Away2.76price falling, opened at 2.95

Market move since Sep 3. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.42price rising, opened at 1.36
Under 1.52.49price falling, opened at 2.70
Over 2.52.45price rising, opened at 2.29
Under 2.51.52price falling, opened at 1.59
Over 3.54.60price rising, opened at 4.10
Under 3.51.13price falling, opened at 1.16
Both teams to score
Yes1.99price rising, opened at 1.89
No1.73price falling, opened at 1.81
Odd/Even
Odd1.92price falling, opened at 1.93
Even1.79price rising, opened at 1.78
Handicap
Home +01.84price rising, opened at 1.73
Away +01.89price falling, opened at 2.02

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Lokomotiv Plovdiv and Cherno More Varna average 1.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
Compare all books

Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-014.1%Projected
  2. 1-113.4%Alternative
  3. 0-012.6%
  4. 0-112.1%
  5. 2-07.8%

Top five combined: 60.0%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeLokomotiv PlovdivxG1.11
AwayCherno More VarnaxG0.96
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13%
14%
7.8%
2.9%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
1
12%
13%
7.5%
2.8%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
2
5.8%
6.4%
3.6%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
3
1.8%
2.0%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
4
0.4%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 41.3%58.7% No
Over 1.5 61.2%38.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 34.2%65.8% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 15.5%84.5% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Lokomotiv Plovdiv win and over 2.5 goals17.1%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv win and both teams score13.2%
Cherno More Varna win and over 2.5 goals13.1%
Draw and under 2.5 goals26.1%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Lokomotiv Plovdiv or draw69.1%
Cherno More Varna or draw61.0%
Either team wins69.9%
Draw no bet: Lokomotiv Plovdiv55.8%
Draw no bet: Cherno More Varna44.2%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv win to nil25.8%
Cherno More Varna win to nil20.2%
Team goals
Lokomotiv Plovdiv to score67.1%
Cherno More Varna to score61.6%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv over 1.5 goals30.6%
Cherno More Varna over 1.5 goals24.8%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv clean sheet38.4%
Cherno More Varna clean sheet32.9%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 2.10

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna
Head to Head

Head to Head

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
May 12, 2026Cherno More Varna2 - 0Lokomotiv Plovdiv
April 26, 2026Lokomotiv Plovdiv0 - 1Cherno More Varna
February 15, 2026Lokomotiv Plovdiv1 - 1Cherno More Varna
August 23, 2025Cherno More Varna1 - 1Lokomotiv Plovdiv
League Table

League Table

First LeagueBulgaria · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
18800214+1724
28620146+820
2330051+49
37520175+1217
48512158+716
58512137+616
683141114-310
782331014-49
88224713-68
9714276+17
108215717-107
118206410-66
128116817-94
137115714-74
147034814-63
Relegation
First League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Levski Sofia88002141724WWW
2Ludogorets8620146820WWW
2Ludogorets Razgrad33005149
3CSKA Sofia75201751217WWD
4CSKA 19488512158716WWD
5Arda Kardzhali8512137616LWD
6Botev Plovdiv83141114-310WLD
7Spartak Varna82331014-49WWD
8Septemvri Sofia8224713-68LLD
9Slavia Sofia71427617DLD
10Botev Vratsa8215717-107LLD
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv8206410-66LWL
12Cherno More Varna8116817-94LLD
13Dunav Ruse7115714-74LLL
14Lokomotiv Sofia7034814-63DLD