Ajax W vs De Graafschap W Prediction - September 6, 2026

Eredivisie WomenNetherlandsFull time
Ajax W
1:0
De Graafschap W
Projected scoreOur pick
0-1

Alternative:0-0

BTTS: No1.63Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.06
Draw8.60price rising, opened at 8.50
Away18.00

Market move since Sep 6. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.06
Under 1.56.15
Over 2.51.32
Under 2.52.88
Over 3.51.88price falling, opened at 1.89
Under 3.51.81price rising, opened at 1.80
Odd/Even
Odd1.82
Even1.82
Handicap
Home -2.51.92price falling, opened at 1.93
Away +2.51.76price rising, opened at 1.75

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Ajax W vs De Graafschap W?

The model's leading scoreline is 0 - 1, with 0-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Ajax W are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Ajax W and De Graafschap W average 1.8 goals a match between them, against a line of 2.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 0-124.9%Projected
  2. 0-021.4%Alternative
  3. 0-214.5%
  4. 1-19.4%
  5. 1-08.1%

Top five combined: 78.3%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeAjax WxG0.38
AwayDe Graafschap WxG1.16
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
21%
8.1%
1.5%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
1
25%
9.4%
1.8%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
2
14%
5.5%
1.0%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
3
5.6%
2.1%
0.4%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
1.6%
0.6%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.4%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 21.6%78.4% No
Over 1.5 45.6%54.4% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 20.1%79.9% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 7.1%92.9% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Ajax W win and over 2.5 goals2.4%
Ajax W win and both teams score2.2%
De Graafschap W win and over 2.5 goals16.7%
Draw and under 2.5 goals30.8%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Ajax W or draw43.9%
De Graafschap W or draw88.0%
Either team wins68.1%
Draw no bet: Ajax W17.6%
Draw no bet: De Graafschap W82.4%
Ajax W win to nil9.8%
De Graafschap W win to nil47.1%
Team goals
Ajax W to score31.5%
De Graafschap W to score68.7%
Ajax W over 1.5 goals5.6%
De Graafschap W over 1.5 goals32.4%
Ajax W clean sheet31.3%
De Graafschap W clean sheet68.5%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.60

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Ajax W vs De Graafschap W
League Table

League Table

Eredivisie WomenNetherlands · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
14400183+1512
2440083+512
3430143+19
44211104+67
54202913-46
6410346-23
74103610-43
8410359-43
94103313-103
10401347-31
Eredivisie Women - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Twente W44001831512
2AZ W440083512
3Ajax W43014319
4PSV/Eindhoven W421110467
5ADO Den Haag W4202913-46
6De Graafschap W410346-23
7PEC Zwolle W4103610-43
8Heerenveen W410359-43
9Feyenoord W4103313-103
10Utrecht W401347-31