El Nacional vs LDU Portoviejo Prediction - September 5, 2026

Liga Pro Serie BEcuadorFull time
El Nacional
0:2
LDU Portoviejo
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.32Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.18price falling, opened at 2.84
Draw3.12price rising, opened at 3.04
Away3.43price rising, opened at 2.38

Market move since Sep 4. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.54price rising, opened at 1.32
Under 1.52.38price falling, opened at 2.88
Over 2.52.65price rising, opened at 2.04
Under 2.51.45price falling, opened at 1.68
Over 3.55.14price rising, opened at 3.50
Under 3.51.14price falling, opened at 1.22
Both teams to score
Yes2.50price rising, opened at 1.79
No1.50price falling, opened at 1.88
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price rising, opened at 1.85
Even1.82price rising, opened at 1.79
Handicap
Home -0.251.85
Away +0.251.95

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for El Nacional vs LDU Portoviejo?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: LDU Portoviejo are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • El Nacional and LDU Portoviejo average 1.2 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
Compare all books

Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-113.4%Projected
  2. 1-012.2%Alternative
  3. 0-111.8%
  4. 0-010.8%
  5. 2-17.6%

Top five combined: 55.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeEl NacionalxG1.13
AwayLDU PortoviejoxG1.10
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
11%
12%
6.9%
2.6%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
1
12%
13%
7.6%
2.8%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
2
6.5%
7.3%
4.1%
1.6%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
3
2.4%
2.7%
1.5%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
4
0.6%
0.7%
0.4%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 45.1%54.9% No
Over 1.5 65.2%34.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 38.5%61.5% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 18.6%81.4% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

El Nacional win and over 2.5 goals17.3%
El Nacional win and both teams score13.8%
LDU Portoviejo win and over 2.5 goals16.4%
Draw and under 2.5 goals24.2%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
El Nacional or draw65.3%
LDU Portoviejo or draw63.6%
Either team wins71.1%
Draw no bet: El Nacional51.2%
Draw no bet: LDU Portoviejo48.8%
El Nacional win to nil22.6%
LDU Portoviejo win to nil21.5%
Team goals
El Nacional to score67.7%
LDU Portoviejo to score66.6%
El Nacional over 1.5 goals31.2%
LDU Portoviejo over 1.5 goals30.0%
El Nacional clean sheet33.4%
LDU Portoviejo clean sheet32.3%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 2.10

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: El Nacional vs LDU Portoviejo
Head to Head

Head to Head

El Nacional
0 - 1
LDU Portoviejo
May 31, 2026
LDU Portoviejo
2 - 1
El Nacional
March 28, 2026
El Nacional vs LDU Portoviejo: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
May 31, 2026El Nacional0 - 1LDU Portoviejo
March 28, 2026LDU Portoviejo2 - 1El Nacional
League Table

League Table

Liga Pro Serie BEcuador · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
UT Cotopaxi
2210932816+1239
2
Ind. Juniors
199732313+1034
2
Atletico FC
2291122514+1138
3
9 de Octubre
2291032214+837
4
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors
229762023-334
5
Cuniburo
228772517+831
6
San Antonio
2271052421+331
7
Gualaceo SC
227871916+329
8
Santo Domingo
2261061716+128
9
LDU Portoviejo
227691722-527
10
Cumbayá
2251162222026
11
22 de Julio
2243151031-2115
12
El Nacional
2226141532-1712
Liga Pro Serie B - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1UT Cotopaxi22109328161239
2Ind. Juniors1997323131034WWWDL
2Atletico FC22911225141138WDWDW
39 de Octubre2291032214837DWDDD
4Deportivo Cuenca Juniors229762023-334DDWWW
5Cuniburo228772517831LLWWL
6San Antonio2271052421331WDLDL
7Gualaceo SC227871916329LDLDW
8Santo Domingo2261061716128DLLDW
9LDU Portoviejo227691722-527LWLLD
10Cumbayá2251162222026DDDWW
1122 de Julio2243151031-2115LLWLL
12El Nacional2226141532-1712WDLLL