Peninsula Power vs Moreton City Excelsior Prediction - September 4, 2026

Queensland NPLAustraliaFull time
Peninsula Power
3:2
Moreton City Excelsior
Projected scoreOur pick
2-0

Alternative:1-1

Asian Handicap: Home +0.51.45Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.02price falling, opened at 2.39
Draw4.02price rising, opened at 3.65
Away3.07price rising, opened at 2.38

Market move since Sep 3. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.13price rising, opened at 1.09
Under 1.55.50price rising, opened at 5.15
Over 2.51.42price rising, opened at 1.41
Under 2.52.75price rising, opened at 2.52
Over 3.52.11price rising, opened at 2.08
Under 3.51.73price rising, opened at 1.65
Both teams to score
Yes1.45price rising, opened at 1.38
No2.63price falling, opened at 2.73
Odd/Even
Odd1.87price rising, opened at 1.82
Even1.87price rising, opened at 1.82
Handicap
Home -0.251.78
Away +0.252.03

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Peninsula Power vs Moreton City Excelsior?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Peninsula Power are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Peninsula Power average 1.6 goals per match against 0.8 for Moreton City Excelsior.
  • Peninsula Power won 1 of their last 5 matches; Moreton City Excelsior won 1 of 5.
  • Counter signalMoreton City Excelsior won 2 of the last 3 head-to-head meetings.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-011.5%Projected
  2. 1-011.1%
  3. 2-19.8%
  4. 1-19.5%Alternative
  5. 3-07.9%

Top five combined: 49.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomePeninsula PowerxG2.07
AwayMoreton City ExcelsiorxG0.85
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.4%
11%
12%
7.9%
4.1%
1.7%
0.8%
1
4.6%
9.5%
9.8%
6.8%
3.5%
1.5%
0.7%
2
2.0%
4.0%
4.2%
2.9%
1.5%
0.6%
0.3%
3
0.6%
1.2%
1.2%
0.8%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
4
0.1%
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 50.2%49.8% No
Over 1.5 78.9%21.1% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 56.0%44.0% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 33.6%66.4% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Peninsula Power win and over 2.5 goals42.9%
Peninsula Power win and both teams score28.3%
Moreton City Excelsior win and over 2.5 goals7.9%
Draw and under 2.5 goals14.9%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Peninsula Power or draw85.5%
Moreton City Excelsior or draw34.4%
Either team wins80.0%
Draw no bet: Peninsula Power81.9%
Draw no bet: Moreton City Excelsior18.1%
Peninsula Power win to nil37.2%
Moreton City Excelsior win to nil7.2%
Team goals
Peninsula Power to score87.4%
Moreton City Excelsior to score57.4%
Peninsula Power over 1.5 goals61.3%
Moreton City Excelsior over 1.5 goals21.0%
Peninsula Power clean sheet42.6%
Moreton City Excelsior clean sheet12.6%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 2.10

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Peninsula Power vs Moreton City Excelsior
Head to Head

Head to Head

Peninsula Power vs Moreton City Excelsior: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
July 18, 2026Moreton City Excelsior2 - 2Peninsula Power
April 18, 2026Peninsula Power1 - 4Moreton City Excelsior
June 17, 2025Peninsula Power0 - 2Moreton City Excelsior
League Table

League Table

Queensland NPLAustralia · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12217235722+3553
22213634927+2245
32212375135+1639
42211564632+1438
5229764748-134
6229673640-433
72292113435-129
82282123943-426
92271143359-2622
102263133452-1821
112262142639-1320
122251163252-2016
Queensland NPL - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Lions22172357223553WWWLW
2Peninsula Power22136349272245LDDWW
3Moreton City Excelsior22123751351639LDWLW
4Gold Coast Knights22115646321438LDLDW
5Brisbane City229764748-134LWDDW
6WDSC Wolves229673640-433WWDDL
7Eastern Suburbs2292113435-129LLLLL
8Olympic2282123943-426WWLLW
9Magic United2271143359-2622LWLWL
10Rochedale Rovers2263133452-1821WLLDW
11Gold Coast United2262142639-1320WDLWL
12Brisbane Roar II2251163252-2016WLWDL