Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco Prediction - 4 September 2026
Our pick:Home win
Odds 1.45Lost
- Correct score
- 2-1
- Alternative
- 2-0
Form
- D 2-2
- D 2-2
- W 1-0
- W 2-1
- D 1-1
- W 2-0
- W 4-1
- W 1-0
- W 3-2
- L 0-2
Head to head
- 6 Mar 2026 Paris Saint Germain 1 Monaco 3 Ligue 1
- 25 Feb 2026 Paris Saint Germain 2 Monaco 2 UEFA Champions League
- 17 Feb 2026 Monaco 2 Paris Saint Germain 3 UEFA Champions League
Match analysis
Monaco arrive on four wins from five, but Superior's model still makes Paris Saint Germain favourites to beat them outright on 4 September, pricing the home win at 1.45 with 60 percent confidence. PSG have conceded just once in their last three matches at home.
PSG have conceded just once in three home matches
Across their last three matches on their own ground, PSG have posted a 2-2, a 1-0 and a 2-1, shipping only a single goal across those three games while scoring in every one. Monaco arrive on the back of four wins in five, but that run has come against defending PSG have not had to face at home this season.
The head-to-head is not on Superior's side
Across the last four meetings, PSG have won only once, drawing one and losing two, including a 1-3 defeat as recently as March. If Monaco's front line repeats that kind of night, this pick loses: a draw of any scoreline or any Monaco win is enough to beat it, and the h2h record is real reason to respect that possibility.
More tips for this game
- Goals: Under 3.5
- Match Winner: Home
- Correct score: 2-1
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 2-19.3%Our score
- 2-08.0%Alternative
- 3-17.8%
- 1-17.3%
- 3-06.7%
Top five combined: 39.1%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- Paris Saint Germain win and over 2.5 goals52.7%
- Paris Saint Germain win and both teams score38.2%
- Monaco win and over 2.5 goals11.0%
- Draw and under 2.5 goals9.9%
| PSG | Monaco | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 84.4% | 32.9% |
| Draw no bet | 81.1% | 18.9% |
| Win to nil | 28.9% | 5.5% |
| Either team wins | 82.7% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 92.0% | 68.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71.8% | 32.2% |
| Clean sheet | 31.4% | 8.0% |
Today's acca
2 games, total odds 1.61
League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | +8 | 14 | |
| 2 | 7 | +5 | 14 | |
| 3 | 7 | +5 | 14 | |
| 4 | 8 | +4 | 14 | |
| 5 | 7 | +4 | 14 | |
| 6 | 8 | +4 | 13 | |
| 7 | 7 | +1 | 13 | |
| 8 | 7 | +1 | 11 | |
| 9 | 8 | -2 | 11 | |
| 10 | 7 | +4 | 9 | |
| 11 | 8 | +2 | 9 | |
| 12 | 7 | +1 | 9 | |
| 13 | 7 | -6 | 9 | |
| 14 | 7 | -3 | 7 | |
| 15 | 7 | -6 | 7 | |
| 16 | 7 | -5 | 6 | |
| 17 | 7 | -11 | 4 | |
| 18 | 7 | -6 | 2 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 14 | |
| 2 | Paris Saint Germain | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 14 | |
| 3 | Lille | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 14 | |
| 4 | Paris FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 14 | |
| 5 | Monaco | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 14 | |
| 6 | Lens | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 13 | |
| 7 | Rennes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 | |
| 8 | Lorient | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 11 | |
| 9 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 11 | |
| 10 | Marseille | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 9 | |
| 11 | Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 9 | |
| 12 | Toulouse | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 9 | |
| 13 | Auxerre | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 9 | |
| 14 | Strasbourg | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 7 | |
| 15 | Angers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 7 | |
| 16 | Le Mans | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 6 | |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 16 | -11 | 4 | |
| 18 | Le Havre | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 2 |