Lyon vs Auxerre Prediction - 4 September 2026
Our pick:Under 3.5 goals
Odds 1.44Lost
- Correct score
- 2-1
- Alternative
- 1-1
- Under 3.5 goals
- 5/5Lyon · last 5 games
Form
- D 1-1
- L 1-2
- W 2-0
- D 1-1
- W 3-0
- L 1-3
- L 2-5
- W 1-0
- D 1-1
- D 1-1
Head to head
- 25 Apr 2026 Lyon 3 Auxerre 2 Ligue 1
- 23 Nov 2025 Auxerre 0 Lyon 0 Ligue 1
Match analysis
Five goals, then none, then four: that has been the scoring pattern across the last three meetings between Lyon and Auxerre, and Superior is backing Under 3.5 goals again when they meet on 4 September at 1.44. The model rates the pick 60 percent likely.
The head-to-head has only crossed four goals once in three meetings
Of the three meetings on record, one finished 3-2, one was goalless and one finished 3-1, an average of three goals a game rather than four. Lyon are scoring 1.6 goals a game themselves this season and Auxerre 1.2, a combined rate of 2.8 that sits comfortably under this line even before accounting for a typically tighter fixture between these two.
One of the last three meetings already crossed this line
The 3-2 meeting on this fixture's own head-to-head record is proof the total can get away from both sides. Lyon have also lost 1-2 in their own last five, so if their defense has an off night while Auxerre's attack clicks the way it did in that 3-2, four goals or more is very much in play, and that is the one scoreline this pick is betting against repeating.
More tips for this game
- Goals: Under 3.5
- Correct score: 1-1
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 2-19.4%Our score
- 1-18.1%Alternative
- 2-07.3%
- 3-17.3%
- 1-06.3%
Top five combined: 38.4%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- Lyon win and over 2.5 goals46.9%
- Lyon win and both teams score35.6%
- Auxerre win and over 2.5 goals14.6%
- Draw and under 2.5 goals10.8%
| Lyon | Auxerre | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 79.7% | 39.6% |
| Draw no bet | 74.9% | 25.1% |
| Win to nil | 24.8% | 7.1% |
| Either team wins | 80.7% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 90.2% | 72.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67.4% | 37.0% |
| Clean sheet | 27.5% | 9.8% |
Today's acca
2 games, total odds 1.61
League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | +8 | 14 | |
| 2 | 7 | +5 | 14 | |
| 3 | 7 | +5 | 14 | |
| 4 | 8 | +4 | 14 | |
| 5 | 7 | +4 | 14 | |
| 6 | 8 | +4 | 13 | |
| 7 | 7 | +1 | 13 | |
| 8 | 7 | +1 | 11 | |
| 9 | 8 | -2 | 11 | |
| 10 | 7 | +4 | 9 | |
| 11 | 8 | +2 | 9 | |
| 12 | 7 | +1 | 9 | |
| 13 | 7 | -6 | 9 | |
| 14 | 7 | -3 | 7 | |
| 15 | 7 | -6 | 7 | |
| 16 | 7 | -5 | 6 | |
| 17 | 7 | -11 | 4 | |
| 18 | 7 | -6 | 2 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 14 | |
| 2 | Paris Saint Germain | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 14 | |
| 3 | Lille | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 14 | |
| 4 | Paris FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 14 | |
| 5 | Monaco | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 14 | |
| 6 | Lens | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 13 | |
| 7 | Rennes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 | |
| 8 | Lorient | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 11 | |
| 9 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 11 | |
| 10 | Marseille | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 9 | |
| 11 | Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 9 | |
| 12 | Toulouse | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 9 | |
| 13 | Auxerre | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 9 | |
| 14 | Strasbourg | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 7 | |
| 15 | Angers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 7 | |
| 16 | Le Mans | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 6 | |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 16 | -11 | 4 | |
| 18 | Le Havre | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 2 |