Livingston vs Stenhousemuir Prediction - September 4, 2026

ChampionshipScotlandFull time
Livingston
0:1
Stenhousemuir
Projected scoreOur pick
2-1

Alternative:2-0

Match Winner: Home1.43Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.38price rising, opened at 1.34
Draw4.15price falling, opened at 4.30
Away7.50price falling, opened at 8.25

Market move since Sep 1. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.16price falling, opened at 1.17
Under 1.54.20price rising, opened at 4.00
Over 2.51.63price falling, opened at 1.67
Under 2.52.14price rising, opened at 2.08
Over 3.52.49price falling, opened at 2.59
Under 3.51.42price rising, opened at 1.39
Both teams to score
Yes1.81price falling, opened at 1.92
No1.88price rising, opened at 1.77
Odd/Even
Odd1.87price rising, opened at 1.86
Even1.79price falling, opened at 1.80
Handicap
Home -1.251.86price rising, opened at 1.77
Away +1.251.80price falling, opened at 1.85

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Livingston vs Stenhousemuir?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 2-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Stenhousemuir are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match analysis

The one previous meeting between Livingston and Stenhousemuir on record finished goalless, but Superior's model still backs Livingston to win outright this time on 4 September, priced at 1.43 with 65 percent confidence. Livingston have scored ten goals across their last two matches on their own ground.

Livingston have scored ten goals in their last two home matches

An 8-0 followed a 2-0 across Livingston's last two matches at home, a side finding goals easily on its own ground even accounting for a mixed patch either side of that run. Livingston add 2.4 goals a game of their own this season, well clear of Stenhousemuir's 1.6, a scoring gap that supports the home win even before Stenhousemuir's level of opposition is weighed.

Stenhousemuir are unbeaten in their own last five games

Stenhousemuir's own run reads three wins and two draws, including a 3-1 win of their own, form that does not fit the role of a straightforward home banker's opponent. If Stenhousemuir's current unbeaten form travels well, a draw or an away win is enough to beat this pick outright.

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-19.9%Projected
  2. 2-09.5%Alternative
  3. 1-19.4%
  4. 1-09.0%
  5. 3-17.0%

Top five combined: 44.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeLivingstonxG2.11
AwayStenhousemuirxG1.05
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
4.3%
9.0%
9.5%
6.7%
3.5%
1.5%
0.7%
1
4.5%
9.4%
9.9%
7.0%
3.7%
1.5%
0.8%
2
2.3%
4.9%
5.2%
3.6%
1.9%
0.8%
0.4%
3
0.8%
1.7%
1.8%
1.3%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.2%
0.4%
0.5%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
5
0.0%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 57.0%43.0% No
Over 1.5 82.2%17.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 61.0%39.0% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 38.7%61.3% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Livingston win and over 2.5 goals43.2%
Livingston win and both teams score30.8%
Stenhousemuir win and over 2.5 goals11.2%
Draw and under 2.5 goals13.7%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Livingston or draw82.0%
Stenhousemuir or draw38.3%
Either team wins79.7%
Draw no bet: Livingston77.4%
Draw no bet: Stenhousemuir22.6%
Livingston win to nil30.9%
Stenhousemuir win to nil7.9%
Team goals
Livingston to score87.8%
Stenhousemuir to score64.9%
Livingston over 1.5 goals62.2%
Stenhousemuir over 1.5 goals28.1%
Livingston clean sheet35.1%
Stenhousemuir clean sheet12.2%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Livingston vs Stenhousemuir
Head to Head

Head to Head

Livingston vs Stenhousemuir: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
July 25, 2026Stenhousemuir0 - 0Livingston
League Table

League Table

ChampionshipScotland · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1431082+610
2422041+38
3421153+27
442113307
5420243+16
641214405
7412123-15
8403124-23
9401326-41
10401316-51
Relegation
Championship - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Stenhousemuir431082610D
2Partick42204138W
3Raith Rovers42115327D
4Arbroath42113307L
5Livingston42024316W
6Ayr Utd41214405W
7Dunfermline412123-15D
8Inverness CT403124-23D
9Morton401326-41L
10Queen's Park401316-51L