Heracles vs De Graafschap Prediction - September 4, 2026

Eerste DivisieNetherlandsFull time
Heracles
5:0
De Graafschap
Projected scoreOur pick
2-1

Alternative:2-2

Goals: Over 2.51.33Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.46price falling, opened at 1.64
Draw4.85price rising, opened at 4.30
Away5.48price rising, opened at 4.11

Market move since Sep 1. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.03
Under 1.56.90
Over 2.51.25
Under 2.53.28
Over 3.51.73
Under 3.52.05
Both teams to score
Yes1.39
No2.77
Odd/Even
Odd1.86
Even1.84
Handicap
Home -1.251.89
Away +1.251.84

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Heracles vs De Graafschap?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 2-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Heracles are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Heracles and De Graafschap average 5.2 goals a match between them, against a line of 2.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-16.1%Projected
  2. 2-26.1%Alternative
  3. 3-16.1%
  4. 3-26.1%
  5. 4-14.5%

Top five combined: 28.9%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeHeraclesxG2.99
AwayDe GraafschapxG2.00
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
0.7%
2.0%
3.0%
3.0%
2.3%
1.4%
1.1%
1
1.4%
4.1%
6.1%
6.1%
4.5%
2.7%
2.3%
2
1.4%
4.1%
6.1%
6.1%
4.5%
2.7%
2.3%
3
0.9%
2.7%
4.0%
4.0%
3.0%
1.8%
1.5%
4
0.5%
1.4%
2.0%
2.0%
1.5%
0.9%
0.8%
5
0.2%
0.5%
0.8%
0.8%
0.6%
0.4%
0.3%
6+
0.1%
0.2%
0.4%
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 82.1%17.9% No
Over 1.5 95.9%4.1% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 87.5%12.5% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 73.4%26.6% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Heracles win and over 2.5 goals53.3%
Heracles win and both teams score45.5%
De Graafschap win and over 2.5 goals22.0%
Draw and under 2.5 goals4.7%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Heracles or draw75.2%
De Graafschap or draw41.5%
Either team wins83.2%
Draw no bet: Heracles70.2%
Draw no bet: De Graafschap29.8%
Heracles win to nil12.9%
De Graafschap win to nil4.3%
Team goals
Heracles to score95.0%
De Graafschap to score86.4%
Heracles over 1.5 goals80.0%
De Graafschap over 1.5 goals59.4%
Heracles clean sheet13.6%
De Graafschap clean sheet5.0%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Team news

Expected formations

Heracles: 4-3-3(predicted)De Graafschap: 4-3-3(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Heracles vs De Graafschap
League Table

League Table

Eerste DivisieNetherlands · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
14400167+912
2440084+412
34310113+810
44301115+69
54301109+19
652218808
7421186+27
8421154+17
942117707
104202115+66
1152039906
1240406604
134112910-14
144112510-54
1551131114-34
16410337-43
174103611-53
18402257-22
194013512-71
205005515-100
Eerste Divisie - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Heracles4400167912
2MVV Maastricht440084412
3Almere City FC4310113810
4VVV Venlo430111569
5Emmen430110919
6Jong PSV52218808
7Vitesse42118627
8Roda42115417
9NAC Breda42117707
10FC Volendam420211566
11Jong AZ52039906
12Waalwijk40406604
13Den Bosch4112910-14
14Dordrecht4112510-54
15Jong Ajax51131114-34
16FC OSS410337-43
17FC Eindhoven4103611-53
18Helmond Sport402257-22
19De Graafschap4013512-71
20Jong Utrecht5005515-100