Almere City FC vs Jong Ajax Prediction - September 4, 2026

Eerste DivisieNetherlandsFull time
Almere City FC
0:1
Jong Ajax
Projected scoreOur pick
2-1

Alternative:2-2

Goals: Over 2.51.32Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.54price rising, opened at 1.48
Draw4.75price rising, opened at 4.60
Away4.68price falling, opened at 5.27

Market move since Sep 1. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.02
Under 1.58.20
Over 2.51.20
Under 2.53.70
Over 3.51.63
Under 3.52.21
Both teams to score
Yes1.31
No3.15
Odd/Even
Odd1.86
Even1.84
Handicap
Home -11.79
Away +11.95

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Almere City FC vs Jong Ajax?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 2-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Almere City FC are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Almere City FC and Jong Ajax average 4.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 2.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-17.9%Projected
  2. 3-17.8%
  3. 2-05.8%
  4. 4-15.7%
  5. 3-05.6%

Top five combined: 32.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeAlmere City FCxG2.94
AwayJong AjaxxG1.38
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
1.3%
3.9%
5.8%
5.6%
4.2%
2.4%
2.0%
1
1.8%
5.4%
7.9%
7.8%
5.7%
3.4%
2.7%
2
1.3%
3.7%
5.5%
5.4%
3.9%
2.3%
1.9%
3
0.6%
1.7%
2.5%
2.5%
1.8%
1.1%
0.9%
4
0.2%
0.6%
0.9%
0.8%
0.6%
0.4%
0.3%
5
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 70.8%29.2% No
Over 1.5 92.9%7.1% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 80.5%19.5% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 62.6%37.4% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Almere City FC win and over 2.5 goals59.7%
Almere City FC win and both teams score45.5%
Jong Ajax win and over 2.5 goals12.1%
Draw and under 2.5 goals6.7%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Almere City FC or draw84.8%
Jong Ajax or draw30.6%
Either team wins84.6%
Draw no bet: Almere City FC82.0%
Draw no bet: Jong Ajax18.0%
Almere City FC win to nil23.9%
Jong Ajax win to nil3.9%
Team goals
Almere City FC to score94.7%
Jong Ajax to score74.8%
Almere City FC over 1.5 goals79.2%
Jong Ajax over 1.5 goals40.0%
Almere City FC clean sheet25.2%
Jong Ajax clean sheet5.3%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Team news

Expected formations

Jong Ajax: 4-3-3(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Almere City FC vs Jong Ajax
Head to Head

Head to Head

Almere City FC vs Jong Ajax: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
March 20, 2026Jong Ajax0 - 2Almere City FC
December 5, 2025Almere City FC3 - 2Jong Ajax
League Table

League Table

Eerste DivisieNetherlands · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
14400167+912
2440084+412
34310113+810
44301115+69
54301109+19
652218808
7421186+27
8421154+17
942117707
104202115+66
1152039906
1240406604
134112910-14
144112510-54
1551131114-34
16410337-43
174103611-53
18402257-22
194013512-71
205005515-100
Eerste Divisie - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Heracles4400167912
2MVV Maastricht440084412
3Almere City FC4310113810
4VVV Venlo430111569
5Emmen430110919
6Jong PSV52218808
7Vitesse42118627
8Roda42115417
9NAC Breda42117707
10FC Volendam420211566
11Jong AZ52039906
12Waalwijk40406604
13Den Bosch4112910-14
14Dordrecht4112510-54
15Jong Ajax51131114-34
16FC OSS410337-43
17FC Eindhoven4103611-53
18Helmond Sport402257-22
19De Graafschap4013512-71
20Jong Utrecht5005515-100