Helmond Sport vs VVV Venlo Prediction - September 4, 2026

Eerste DivisieNetherlandsFull time
Helmond Sport
4:2
VVV Venlo
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:0-1

Goals: Under 3.51.50Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home2.63price falling, opened at 2.75
Draw3.42price rising, opened at 3.40
Away2.46price rising, opened at 2.36

Market move since Sep 1. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.13price falling, opened at 1.15
Under 1.54.50price rising, opened at 4.40
Over 2.51.58price falling, opened at 1.60
Under 2.52.31price rising, opened at 2.20
Over 3.52.30price falling, opened at 2.40
Under 3.51.49price falling, opened at 1.50
Both teams to score
Yes1.47price falling, opened at 1.52
No2.50price rising, opened at 2.40
Odd/Even
Odd1.90price falling, opened at 1.99
Even1.80price falling, opened at 1.82
Handicap
Home +01.92price falling, opened at 2.00
Away +01.81price rising, opened at 1.73

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Helmond Sport vs VVV Venlo?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 0-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: VVV Venlo are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
Compare all books

Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-112.0%Projected
  2. 0-19.3%Alternative
  3. 1-28.8%
  4. 1-08.2%
  5. 2-17.8%

Top five combined: 46.1%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeHelmond SportxG1.29
AwayVVV VenloxG1.46
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
6.4%
8.2%
5.3%
2.3%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
1
9.3%
12%
7.8%
3.3%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
2
6.8%
8.8%
5.7%
2.4%
0.8%
0.2%
0.1%
3
3.3%
4.3%
2.8%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
4
1.2%
1.6%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.4%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 55.7%44.3% No
Over 1.5 76.1%23.9% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 51.9%48.1% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 29.8%70.2% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Helmond Sport win and over 2.5 goals19.8%
Helmond Sport win and both teams score16.6%
VVV Venlo win and over 2.5 goals25.1%
Draw and under 2.5 goals18.4%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Helmond Sport or draw58.8%
VVV Venlo or draw66.7%
Either team wins74.6%
Draw no bet: Helmond Sport44.7%
Draw no bet: VVV Venlo55.3%
Helmond Sport win to nil16.8%
VVV Venlo win to nil21.2%
Team goals
Helmond Sport to score72.5%
VVV Venlo to score76.9%
Helmond Sport over 1.5 goals37.0%
VVV Venlo over 1.5 goals43.0%
Helmond Sport clean sheet23.1%
VVV Venlo clean sheet27.5%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Team news

Expected formations

VVV Venlo: 4-3-3(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Helmond Sport vs VVV Venlo
Head to Head

Head to Head

Helmond Sport vs VVV Venlo: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
April 17, 2026Helmond Sport2 - 0VVV Venlo
September 13, 2025VVV Venlo2 - 1Helmond Sport
April 13, 2025VVV Venlo4 - 1Helmond Sport
League Table

League Table

Eerste DivisieNetherlands · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
14400167+912
2440084+412
34310113+810
44301115+69
54301109+19
652218808
7421186+27
8421154+17
942117707
104202115+66
1152039906
1240406604
134112910-14
144112510-54
1551131114-34
16410337-43
174103611-53
18402257-22
194013512-71
205005515-100
Eerste Divisie - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Heracles4400167912
2MVV Maastricht440084412
3Almere City FC4310113810
4VVV Venlo430111569
5Emmen430110919
6Jong PSV52218808
7Vitesse42118627
8Roda42115417
9NAC Breda42117707
10FC Volendam420211566
11Jong AZ52039906
12Waalwijk40406604
13Den Bosch4112910-14
14Dordrecht4112510-54
15Jong Ajax51131114-34
16FC OSS410337-43
17FC Eindhoven4103611-53
18Helmond Sport402257-22
19De Graafschap4013512-71
20Jong Utrecht5005515-100