Lyon W vs Chelsea W Prediction - 30 September 2026
Our pick:Under 3.5 goals
Odds 1.51Won
- Correct score
- 2-1
- Alternative
- 1-1
- Under 3.5 goals
- 4/5Chelsea W · last 5 games
Match highlights
VIPForm
- W 8-0
- W 8-1
- W 7-1
- W 7-1
- W 5-0
- W 1-0
- W 1-0
- W 2-0
- W 5-0
- D 1-1
Team averages before kickoff
For
- 27.5Total shots19.7
- 10.3Shots on target7.4
- 8.8Corner kicks7.0
- 0.8Cards0.9
Against
- 4.8Total shots8.3
- 2.8Shots on target2.7
- 1.8Corner kicks3.1
- 2.0Cards1.1
Match analysis
Lyon Women average 7.0 goals a game and Chelsea Women have conceded once in their last five, so Superior's correct score for Lyon vs Chelsea on 30 September is 2-1 to Lyon, with 1-1 the alternative.
Chelsea have conceded once in five games
Their only goal against came in a 1-1 with Aston Villa on 5 September. The rest were 1-0 against Austria Wien, 2-0 against Birmingham City, 5-0 at Manchester United and 1-0 at Real Sociedad. Superior builds each side's expected goals from what it scores and what the opponent concedes, and that defensive record pulls Lyon's rate far below their recent output, while Chelsea's 2.0 goals a game gives them the goal in the forecast.
Lyon won 8-0 at Servette Chênois and 8-1 at Le Havre
Those came on 23 and 18 September, after 7-1 and 5-0 wins against Paris FC and a 7-1 at Fleury, so Lyon have scored at least five in each of their last five. A third Lyon goal misses the 2-1, and so does a Chelsea blank. Nobody has held Lyon under five in that stretch, and the forecast needs Chelsea to hold them to two.
Today's acca
2 matches, total odds 1.66LostMore UEFA Champions League Women predictions
Match stats
Match overview
- 47%Ball possession53%
- 1Big chances1
- 9Total shots9
- 2Goalkeeper saves4
- 2Corner kicks4
- 10Fouls12
- 420Passes473
- 2Yellow cards1
Shots
- 4Shots on target2
- 4Shots off target5
- 1Blocked shots2
- 4Shots inside box5
- 5Shots outside box4
Attack
- 105Attacks90
- 8Key passes5
- 5/13 (38%)Dribbles6/15 (40%)
- 1Offsides3
Passes
- 327/420 (78%)Accurate passes396/473 (84%)
- 13/43 (30%)Long balls26/52 (50%)
- 2/9 (22%)Crosses2/13 (15%)
- 77Final third entries60
Defending
- 12/19 (63%)Tackles won11/17 (65%)
- 15Interceptions12
- 21Clearances22
- 10/22 (45%)Aerial duels12/23 (52%)
Other
- 12Free kicks10
- 28Throw-ins27
- 3Goal kicks6
More tips for this game
- Goals: Under 3.5
- Correct score: 1-1
- Correct score: 2-1
VIP
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 2-19.9%Our score
- 1-18.3%Alternative
- 1-08.1%
- 2-07.9%
- 3-16.5%
Top five combined: 40.7%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- Lyon W win and over 2.5 goals42.7%
- Lyon W win and both teams score30.9%
- Chelsea W win and over 2.5 goals15.3%
- Draw and under 2.5 goals11.9%
| Lyon W | Chelsea W | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 77.1% | 41.3% |
| Draw no bet | 71.9% | 28.1% |
| Win to nil | 27.8% | 10.0% |
| Either team wins | 81.7% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 86.4% | 68.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 61.1% | 33.1% |
| Clean sheet | 31.4% | 13.6% |