Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo Prediction - September 3, 2026

La LigaSpainFull time
Real Sociedad
0:0
Celta Vigo
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.36Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.72price falling, opened at 2.06
Draw3.70price rising, opened at 3.46
Away4.98price rising, opened at 3.58

Market move since Sep 1. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.22price falling, opened at 1.25
Under 1.54.30price rising, opened at 3.48
Over 2.51.84price falling, opened at 1.90
Under 2.51.96price rising, opened at 1.90
Over 3.52.99price falling, opened at 3.14
Under 3.51.39price rising, opened at 1.30
Both teams to score
Yes1.68price falling, opened at 1.71
No2.18price rising, opened at 2.04
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price rising, opened at 1.88
Even1.82
Handicap
Home -0.751.98
Away +0.751.82

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Celta Vigo are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Real Sociedad and Celta Vigo average 1.8 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
Compare all books

Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-111.7%Projected
  2. 1-09.5%Alternative
  3. 2-19.3%
  4. 2-07.6%
  5. 0-17.3%

Top five combined: 45.4%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeReal SociedadxG1.59
AwayCelta VigoxG1.22
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
6.0%
9.5%
7.6%
4.0%
1.6%
0.5%
0.2%
1
7.3%
12%
9.3%
4.9%
2.0%
0.6%
0.2%
2
4.5%
7.1%
5.7%
3.0%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
3
1.8%
2.9%
2.3%
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
4
0.6%
0.9%
0.7%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 56.2%43.8% No
Over 1.5 77.2%22.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 53.4%46.6% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 31.2%68.8% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Real Sociedad win and over 2.5 goals28.9%
Real Sociedad win and both teams score22.5%
Celta Vigo win and over 2.5 goals17.5%
Draw and under 2.5 goals17.6%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Real Sociedad or draw70.7%
Celta Vigo or draw54.0%
Either team wins75.3%
Draw no bet: Real Sociedad61.1%
Draw no bet: Celta Vigo38.9%
Real Sociedad win to nil23.5%
Celta Vigo win to nil14.3%
Team goals
Real Sociedad to score79.7%
Celta Vigo to score70.6%
Real Sociedad over 1.5 goals47.3%
Celta Vigo over 1.5 goals34.6%
Real Sociedad clean sheet29.4%
Celta Vigo clean sheet20.3%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo
Head to Head

Head to Head

Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
January 25, 2026Real Sociedad3 - 1Celta Vigo
October 19, 2025Celta Vigo1 - 1Real Sociedad
May 13, 2025Real Sociedad0 - 1Celta Vigo
League Table

League Table

La LigaSpain · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
13300122+109
23300102+89
3321073+47
4321051+47
5321031+27
6320165+16
7320145-16
8312053+25
931115504
1031115504
11411236-34
12310254+13
13310235-23
14310214-33
15302145-12
16402214-32
17301214-31
18301248-41
19301239-61
20301217-61
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
La Liga - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Barcelona3300122109
2Real Madrid330010289
3Atletico Madrid32107347
4Alaves32105147
5Osasuna32103127
6Sevilla32016516
7Real Betis320145-16
8Deportivo La Coruna31205325
9Racing Santander31115504
10Levante31115504
11Real Sociedad411236-34
12Espanyol31025413
13Athletic Club310235-23
14Getafe310214-33
15Villarreal302145-12
16Celta Vigo402214-32
17Valencia301214-31
18Rayo Vallecano301248-41
19Elche301239-61
20Malaga301217-61