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Russia vs Iran Prediction - 29 September 2026

FriendliesWorldFull time
Russia
2-0
Iran

Our pick:Over 1.5 goals

71%Odds 1.27Won

Correct score1-1Alternative2-1

Bookmaker odds

Home1.66price falling, opened at 1.69
Draw3.86price rising, opened at 3.64
Away5.10price falling, opened at 5.40
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.24price falling, opened at 1.25
Under 1.53.34price rising, opened at 3.28
Over 2.51.91price falling, opened at 1.94
Under 2.51.89price rising, opened at 1.86
Over 3.53.14
Under 3.51.27
Both teams to score
Yes1.84price falling, opened at 1.86
No1.86price rising, opened at 1.84
Odd/Even
Odd1.85price falling, opened at 1.89
Even1.83price rising, opened at 1.79
Handicap
Home -0.751.77price falling, opened at 1.79
Away +0.751.88price rising, opened at 1.86

What is the prediction for Russia vs Iran?

Our correct score is 1-1, then 2-1. Russia are in better form heading into this match.

Methodology

Match analysis

Level ratings at both ends of the pitch put Superior's forecast for the Russia vs Iran friendly on 29 September at 1-1, with a 2-1 Russia win the alternative. Russia's attack rates 6.1 against an Iran defence at 6.0, and Iran's 6.0 attack meets a Russian defence rated 5.9.

Iran lost 3-1 in Uzbekistan on 24 September

The model gives each side an expected scoring rate from its measured attack and defence, and those near-identical ratings push the grid toward a shared score. Iran average 1.2 goals a game and drew three of their last five, 1-1 with Egypt, 0-0 with Belgium and 2-2 with New Zealand, before losing 3-1 in Uzbekistan. Russia average 1.8, though that figure leans on 3-0 wins over Trinidad and Tobago and Burkina Faso.

Russia beat Iran 2-1 in October 2025

The only recent meeting went Russia's way, 2-1 at home, which is the alternative score. Russia have also won three of their last four home games by at least two goals, 3-0, 3-0 and 3-1, and one more Russian goal turns 1-1 into that 2-1. Iran's 0-0 with Belgium shows the other risk, a game where neither attack scores.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

Premium

After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-113.0%Our score
  2. 1-011.0%
  3. 0-19.1%
  4. 0-08.9%
  5. 2-18.3%Alternative

Top five combined: 50.3%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeRussiaxG1.34
AwayIranxG1.29
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
8.9%
11%
7.1%
3.2%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
1
9.1%
13%
8.3%
3.5%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
2
5.2%
7.6%
4.7%
2.1%
0.7%
0.2%
<0.1%
3
2.3%
2.9%
2.0%
0.8%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.7%
0.9%
0.6%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 50.6%49.4% No
Over 1.5 71.0%29.0% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 45.8%54.2% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 24.3%75.7% Under 3.5

Combos

Combos

Russia win and over 2.5 goals21.9%
Russia win and both teams score17.1%
Iran win and over 2.5 goals18.2%
Draw and under 2.5 goals21.8%
Outcome markets
Russia or draw67.5%
Iran or draw60.0%
Either team wins72.5%
Draw no bet: Russia55.2%
Draw no bet: Iran44.8%
Russia win to nil22.9%
Iran win to nil17.6%
Team goals
Russia to score73.6%
Iran to score68.2%
Russia over 1.5 goals37.9%
Iran over 1.5 goals32.6%
Russia clean sheet31.8%
Iran clean sheet26.4%

Today's acca

2 games, total odds 1.61

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Formations

Confirmed formations

Russia: 4-3-3(confirmed lineup)Iran: 4-2-3-1(confirmed lineup)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Russia vs Iran
Head to Head

Head to Head

Russia
2 - 1
Iran
10 October 2025
Russia vs Iran: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
10 October 2025Russia2 - 1Iran