Ethiopia vs Senegal Prediction - 29 September 2026
Our pick:Over 1.5 goals
Odds 1.27Lost
- Correct score
- 0-2
- Alternative
- 1-2
- Over 1.5 goals
- 4/5Senegal · last 5 games
Form
- L 0-1
- D 1-1
- W 1-0
- L 1-3
- W 1-0
- D 1-1
- W 5-0
- L 2-3
- L 1-3
- D 0-0
Match analysis
Ethiopia come into this on shorter rest than Senegal after losing 1-0 in Sudan on 25 September, and they have scored four goals in their last five games. Superior expects Ethiopia vs Senegal on 29 September to end 0-2 to Senegal, with 1-2 the alternative.
Senegal beat Iraq 5-0 and drew 1-1 in Mozambique
Superior's score grid is built from each side's expected scoring rate, and Senegal's carries weight from a 6.4 attack rating and 1.8 goals a game across a run against France, Norway, Saudi Arabia, Iraq and Mozambique. Ethiopia average 0.8 and have not scored more than once in any of their last five: 0-1, 1-1, 1-0, 1-3 and 1-0. Senegal's defence rates 6.3 against that thin output, and the forecast keeps Ethiopia at nil.
Ethiopia scored in all three of their recent home games
A 0-2 needs an Ethiopian blank, and at home they have found the net each time lately: 1-1 and 1-0 against Malawi in June and 1-0 against Guinea-Bissau last October. One Ethiopian goal turns the forecast into the 1-2 alternative. Senegal also drew four days before this game and were held 0-0 by Saudi Arabia in June, so a quieter Senegal night is possible too.
Today's acca
2 matches, total odds 1.66More Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification predictions
Match stats
Match overview
- 39%Ball possession61%
- 11Total shots5
- 1Goalkeeper saves2
- 5Corner kicks2
- 13Fouls7
- 280Passes450
- 1Yellow cards4
Shots
- 2Shots on target2
- 4Shots off target2
- 5Blocked shots1
- 5Shots inside box4
- 6Shots outside box3
Attack
- 84Attacks108
- 5Offsides0
Passes
- 211/280 (75%)Accurate passes381/450 (85%)
Other
- 7Free kicks18
- 25Throw-ins15
- 6Goal kicks12
More tips for this game
- Asian Handicap: Away -0.25
- Match Winner: Away
- Asian Handicap: Away -0.5
- Goals: Over 1.5
- Asian Handicap: Away -1.25
VIP
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 0-212.5%Our score
- 0-114.2%
- 0-39.4%
- 1-19.0%
- 1-28.5%Alternative
Top five combined: 53.6%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- Senegal win and over 2.5 goals40.5%
- Draw and under 2.5 goals15.6%
- Ethiopia win and over 2.5 goals7.0%
- Ethiopia win and both teams score6.0%
| Ethiopia | Senegal | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 32.9% | 86.5% |
| Draw no bet | 16.8% | 83.2% |
| Win to nil | 7.5% | 43.5% |
| Either team wins | 80.7% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 49.9% | 85.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 17.2% | 58.1% |
| Clean sheet | 14.1% | 50.1% |