Botafogo SP vs Ponte Preta Prediction - September 29, 2026
Alternative:3-1
Match Winner: Home1.26
What is the prediction for Botafogo SP vs Ponte Preta?
The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 3-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Ponte Preta are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.
Match analysis
Superior backs the home win in Botafogo SP vs Ponte Preta on 29 September, a Serie B meeting of two clubs in the relegation fight, with Ponte Preta the deeper in trouble. The price is 1.26 and the model rates the home win at 79 percent. Ponte Preta have scored once in five games and conceded twelve.
Ponte Preta have one goal in their last five games
Superior prices this match from an expected scoring rate for each side, built from what each team scores and concedes, and Ponte Preta's inputs are thin at both ends. Their one goal came in a 1-0 win over CRB, and the other four games were defeats without scoring, including 6-0 at Londrina. Botafogo SP average 0.8 goals a game, which is low for a favourite, but a visitor this blunt leaves few routes to a draw. The correct score is 1-0, with 3-1 the alternative.
Botafogo SP have lost their last three home games
Goias won 3-1 at Botafogo SP, Novorizontino did the same, and Cuiaba won 2-1 there, so this home side conceded at least twice in each of those games. The only meeting this year, in June at Ponte Preta, ended 0-0. A repeat of that, or a 1-1, would beat the home win.
Markets to consider
Best price we found across booksToday's acca
2 selections at 1.79
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Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| June 1, 2026 | Ponte Preta | 0 - 0 | Botafogo SP |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | +10 | 52 | ||
| 2 | 30 | +22 | 51 | ||
| 3 | 29 | +9 | 51 | ||
| 4 | 29 | +12 | 50 | ||
| 5 | 29 | +5 | 47 | ||
| 6 | 29 | +1 | 47 | ||
| 7 | 29 | +9 | 46 | ||
| 8 | 29 | +1 | 45 | ||
| 9 | 29 | +10 | 44 | ||
| 10 | 29 | +8 | 43 | ||
| 11 | 29 | -5 | 42 | ||
| 12 | 30 | +9 | 42 | ||
| 13 | 29 | +3 | 41 | ||
| 14 | 29 | -1 | 38 | ||
| 15 | 29 | -6 | 35 | ||
| 16 | 29 | -4 | 32 | ||
| 17 | 29 | -8 | 30 | ||
| 18 | 30 | -2 | 29 | ||
| 19 | 29 | -28 | 17 | ||
| 20 | 29 | -45 | 13 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 52 | LWLLW |
| 2 | Novorizontino | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 51 | WLLLW |
| 3 | Fortaleza EC | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 51 | WLWLW |
| 4 | Juventude | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 50 | WLWWD |
| 5 | Operario-PR | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 47 | LWDWW |
| 6 | Criciuma | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 47 | DWWWW |
| 7 | Atletico Goianiense | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 46 | WWDWL |
| 8 | CRB | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 45 | WWWDL |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 44 | DDDDL |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 43 | DLLDW |
| 11 | Goias | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 42 | LDWDW |
| 12 | São Bernardo | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 42 | LLDDL |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 41 | DWDDL |
| 14 | Nautico Recife | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 38 | DWLLD |
| 15 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 35 | WLDDL |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 32 | LWDDW |
| 17 | Avai | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 30 | LWDWL |
| 18 | Londrina | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 29 | LLDDW |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 17 | WLDDL |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 62 | -45 | 13 | DLLLL |