Botafogo SP vs Ponte Preta Prediction - 29 September 2026
Our pick:Home win
Odds 1.26Won
- Correct score
- 1-0
- Alternative
- 3-1
- Defeats
- 4/5Ponte Preta · last 5 games
Match highlights
VIPForm
- D 1-1
- L 1-3
- L 1-3
- L 0-1
- L 1-2
- W 1-0
- L 0-6
- L 0-2
- L 0-2
- L 0-2
Head to head
- 1 Jun 2026 Ponte Preta 0 Botafogo SP 0 Serie B
Team averages before kickoff
For
- 13.2Total shots9.7
- 2.8Shots on target2.7
- 6.2Corner kicks3.1
- 2.1Cards2.7
Against
- 13.6Total shots21.4
- 4.2Shots on target8.0
- 6.4Corner kicks7.4
- 2.0Cards2.0
Match analysis
Superior backs the home win in Botafogo SP vs Ponte Preta on 29 September, a Serie B meeting of two clubs in the relegation fight, with Ponte Preta the deeper in trouble. The price is 1.26 and the model rates the home win at 79 percent. Ponte Preta have scored once in five games and conceded twelve.
Ponte Preta have one goal in their last five games
Superior prices this match from an expected scoring rate for each side, built from what each team scores and concedes, and Ponte Preta's inputs are thin at both ends. Their one goal came in a 1-0 win over CRB, and the other four games were defeats without scoring, including 6-0 at Londrina. Botafogo SP average 0.8 goals a game, which is low for a favourite, but a visitor this blunt leaves few routes to a draw. The correct score is 1-0, with 3-1 the alternative.
Botafogo SP have lost their last three home games
Goias won 3-1 at Botafogo SP, Novorizontino did the same, and Cuiaba won 2-1 there, so this home side conceded at least twice in each of those games. The only meeting this year, in June at Ponte Preta, ended 0-0. A repeat of that, or a 1-1, would beat the home win.
Formations
Confirmed formations
Today's acca
2 matches, total odds 1.51Match stats
Match overview
- 64%Ball possession36%
- 1.67Expected goals (xG)0.77
- 1Big chances0
- 13Total shots7
- 1Goalkeeper saves2
- 5Corner kicks2
- 20Fouls10
- 550Passes312
- 1Yellow cards2
Shots
- 4Shots on target1
- 7Shots off target5
- 2Blocked shots1
- 9Shots inside box6
- 4Shots outside box1
Attack
- 104Attacks55
- 0.53Expected assists (xA)0.72
- 10Key passes5
- 9/18 (50%)Dribbles9/19 (47%)
- 1Offsides1
Passes
- 480/550 (87%)Accurate passes246/312 (79%)
- 36/55 (65%)Long balls21/46 (46%)
- 3/18 (17%)Crosses6/12 (50%)
- 87Final third entries25
Defending
- 13/18 (72%)Tackles won14/22 (64%)
- 8Interceptions6
- 14Clearances27
- 7/19 (37%)Aerial duels12/19 (63%)
Other
- 10Free kicks17
- 22Throw-ins23
- 8Goal kicks7
More tips for this game
- Match Winner: Home
League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 37 | +34 | 70 | ||
| 2 | 37 | +23 | 68 | ||
| 3 | 37 | +15 | 66 | ||
| 4 | 37 | +7 | 62 | ||
| 5 | 37 | +11 | 62 | ||
| 6 | 36 | +3 | 55 | ||
| 7 | 36 | -3 | 55 | ||
| 8 | 36 | +9 | 55 | ||
| 9 | 37 | +8 | 55 | ||
| 10 | 37 | -1 | 54 | ||
| 11 | 37 | +10 | 52 | ||
| 12 | 37 | +6 | 51 | ||
| 13 | 37 | +2 | 47 | ||
| 14 | 36 | +1 | 47 | ||
| 15 | 36 | -6 | 46 | ||
| 16 | 36 | -8 | 43 | ||
| 17 | 37 | -12 | 40 | ||
| 18 | 37 | -13 | 32 | ||
| 19 | 36 | -29 | 26 | ||
| 20 | 36 | -57 | 15 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 37 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 66 | 32 | 34 | 70 | WLLLW |
| 2 | Juventude | 37 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 68 | WLWWD |
| 3 | Vila Nova | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 66 | LWLLW |
| 4 | Criciuma | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 38 | 31 | 7 | 62 | DWWWW |
| 5 | Fortaleza EC | 37 | 16 | 14 | 7 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 62 | WLWLW |
| 6 | CRB | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 54 | 51 | 3 | 55 | WWWDL |
| 7 | Goias | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 55 | LDWDW |
| 8 | Atletico Goianiense | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 55 | WWDWL |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 55 | DDDDL |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 37 | 15 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 50 | -1 | 54 | LWDWW |
| 11 | São Bernardo | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 52 | LLDDL |
| 12 | Botafogo SP | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 51 | LWDDW |
| 13 | Cuiaba | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 47 | DLLDW |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 36 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 47 | DWDDL |
| 15 | Nautico Recife | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 46 | DWLLD |
| 16 | Ceara | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 43 | WLDDL |
| 17 | Avai | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 40 | LWDWL |
| 18 | Londrina | 37 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 32 | LLDDW |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 36 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 26 | WLDDL |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 36 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 21 | 78 | -57 | 15 | DLLLL |