Botswana vs Tunisia Prediction - 28 September 2026
Our pick:Over 1.5 goals
Odds 1.25Won
- Correct score
- 1-1
- Alternative
- 1-3
- Over 1.5 goals
- 5/5Tunisia · last 5 games
Match highlights
VIPForm
- D 2-2
- W 1-0
- L 0-3
- L 0-3
- L 0-1
- D 1-1
- L 1-3
- L 0-4
- L 1-5
- L 0-5
Match analysis
Tunisia have lost four of their last five and now carry a 4.6 attack rating, lower than Botswana's 5.9 defence, so Superior's correct score for Botswana vs Tunisia in AFCON qualifying on 28 September is 1-1. The alternative is 3-1 to Tunisia.
Tunisia conceded 18 goals in their last five
Superior sets expected goals by comparing one side's attack with the other's defence, and Botswana's attack rating of 5.9 also sits above Tunisia's defence at 4.7. Tunisia lost 5-0 to Belgium and 5-1 to Sweden in June and were held 1-1 at home by Uganda on 24 September, the same night Botswana drew 2-2 in Libya.
Botswana have scored three goals in their last five
The 1-1 needs a Botswana goal, and they failed to score in three of their last five, losing 3-0 at home to both Zimbabwe and DR Congo and 1-0 in Benin. Their 0.6 goals a game matches Tunisia's exactly. If Botswana's attack stays at that level, the likelier outcomes become a narrow Tunisia win or a goalless draw.
Today's acca
2 matches, total odds 1.51More Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification predictions
Match stats
Match overview
- 31%Ball possession69%
- 6Total shots26
- 6Goalkeeper saves1
- 2Corner kicks11
- 15Fouls12
- 287Passes610
- 3Yellow cards1
Shots
- 3Shots on target8
- 3Shots off target13
- 0Blocked shots5
- 5Shots inside box22
- 1Shots outside box4
Attack
- 66Attacks155
- 2Offsides2
Passes
- 192/287 (67%)Accurate passes519/610 (85%)
Other
- 12Free kicks15
- 17Throw-ins30
- 11Goal kicks3
More tips for this game
- Goals: Over 1.5
VIP
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-110.1%Our score
- 0-19.9%
- 1-28.6%
- 0-27.3%
- 1-07.2%
Top five combined: 43.1%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- Tunisia win and over 2.5 goals30.6%
- Botswana win and over 2.5 goals18.2%
- Draw and under 2.5 goals16.1%
- Botswana win and both teams score15.0%
| Botswana | Tunisia | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 52.3% | 70.2% |
| Draw no bet | 38.5% | 61.5% |
| Win to nil | 14.8% | 25.3% |
| Either team wins | 77.6% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 68.7% | 79.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 34.6% | 48.4% |
| Clean sheet | 20.8% | 31.3% |