Mallorca vs Almeria Prediction - 27 September 2026
Match highlights
VIPForm
- W 1-0
- W 2-0
- D 0-0
- W 3-0
- L 0-2
- W 2-0
- W 2-0
- W 3-2
- L 0-1
- L 0-1
Team averages before kickoff
For
- 11.8Total shots11.8
- 4.0Shots on target3.8
- 3.6Corner kicks3.7
- 2.2Cards1.6
Against
- 11.2Total shots13.0
- 2.7Shots on target2.5
- 5.3Corner kicks5.1
- 1.7Cards2.4
Match analysis
Mallorca's last two home games ended 2-0 against Sabadell and 3-0 against Ceuta, and Almeria come in on three straight wins, including 3-2 over Cadiz. Two or more goals is a 70 percent chance in Superior's model for Mallorca vs Almeria on 27 September, which makes Over 1.5 goals at 1.3 the pick.
Almeria won 2-0 at Cordoba on 12 September
Almeria have scored seven goals in their three-game winning run, and over their last five Mallorca average 1.2 goals a game against Almeria's 1.4. Superior's model builds its expected goals for each side from measured scoring and conceding and prices the full score grid, where 0-0, 1-0 and 0-1 are the only losing results.
Almeria lost 1-0 at Sabadell and at Tenerife
Almeria's two away defeats in the run were both 1-0, and Mallorca drew 0-0 at Eldense and won 1-0 at Real Sociedad's second team on 19 September. All four of those scores would lose this bet, and Mallorca have kept a clean sheet in four of their last five, so a tight game is a real route to 1-0.
Today's acca
2 matches, total odds 1.51More Segunda Division predictions
Match stats
Match overview
- 54%Ball possession46%
- 2.06Expected goals (xG)2.13
- 3Big chances2
- 17Total shots11
- 2Goalkeeper saves5
- 6Corner kicks2
- 20Fouls17
- 441Passes377
- 6Yellow cards3
Shots
- 5Shots on target3
- 8Shots off target5
- 4Blocked shots3
- 9Shots inside box7
- 8Shots outside box4
Attack
- 112Attacks59
- 1.51Expected assists (xA)0.40
- 12Key passes5
- 3/8 (38%)Dribbles4/13 (31%)
- 1Offsides1
Passes
- 377/441 (85%)Accurate passes320/377 (85%)
- 13/33 (39%)Long balls29/54 (54%)
- 5/22 (23%)Crosses2/10 (20%)
- 99Final third entries34
Defending
- 13/21 (62%)Tackles won5/10 (50%)
- 9Interceptions6
- 15Clearances43
- 12/27 (44%)Aerial duels15/27 (56%)
Other
- 17Free kicks18
- 26Throw-ins18
- 6Goal kicks10
More tips for this game
- Goals: Over 1.5
- Correct score: 1-1
VIP
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-113.6%Our score
- 1-012.2%
- 0-09.4%
- 0-19.2%
- 2-19.2%Alternative
Top five combined: 53.6%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- Draw and under 2.5 goals23.0%
- Mallorca win and over 2.5 goals22.6%
- Mallorca win and both teams score17.4%
- Almeria win and over 2.5 goals14.6%
| Mallorca | Almeria | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 71.2% | 57.4% |
| Draw no bet | 59.6% | 40.4% |
| Win to nil | 25.2% | 16.6% |
| Either team wins | 71.4% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 74.0% | 65.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 38.4% | 28.2% |
| Clean sheet | 34.6% | 26.0% |
League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | +14 | 29 | |
| 2 | 12 | +18 | 27 | |
| 3 | 13 | +5 | 24 | |
| 4 | 12 | +7 | 23 | |
| 5 | 12 | +6 | 23 | |
| 6 | 12 | +8 | 22 | |
| 7 | 13 | -1 | 22 | |
| 8 | 13 | +10 | 21 | |
| 9 | 13 | +3 | 21 | |
| 10 | 13 | 0 | 19 | |
| 11 | 13 | +2 | 18 | |
| 12 | 12 | +1 | 17 | |
| 13 | 12 | -4 | 17 | |
| 14 | 13 | -2 | 16 | |
| 15 | 12 | -4 | 14 | |
| 16 | 13 | -6 | 13 | |
| 17 | 13 | -5 | 12 | |
| 18 | 13 | -12 | 12 | |
| 19 | 12 | -7 | 11 | |
| 20 | 13 | -2 | 10 | |
| 21 | 13 | -11 | 10 | |
| 22 | 13 | -20 | 5 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Almeria | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 29 | |
| 2 | Castellón | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 5 | 18 | 27 | |
| 3 | Burgos | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 | |
| 4 | Eibar | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 | |
| 5 | Granada CF | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 23 | |
| 6 | Mallorca | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | |
| 7 | Sporting Gijon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 22 | |
| 8 | Girona | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 21 | |
| 9 | Oviedo | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 21 | |
| 10 | Cordoba | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 19 | |
| 11 | Valladolid | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 18 | |
| 12 | Sabadell | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 17 | |
| 13 | Las Palmas | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 17 | |
| 14 | Tenerife | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 | |
| 15 | Eldense | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 14 | |
| 16 | Celta de Vigo II | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 13 | |
| 17 | FC Andorra | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 12 | |
| 18 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 12 | |
| 19 | Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 11 | |
| 20 | Cadiz | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 10 | |
| 21 | Albacete | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 10 | |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 30 | -20 | 5 |