Houston Dynamo vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction - September 27, 2026
Alternative:2-1
Goals: Over 1.51.19
The odds at Betano have gone up from 1.19 to 1.20 since we published this pick, so the bookmaker now rates it less likely.
What is the prediction for Houston Dynamo vs Sporting Kansas City?
The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 0, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Houston Dynamo are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.
Match analysis
Two of the last three Houston Dynamo vs Sporting Kansas City meetings had two goals or more, and Kansas City's own games have been far more open since. Superior backs Over 1.5 goals on 27 September at 1.19; the model's probability for the pick is 75 percent.
Houston won 2-0 at Kansas City in August
That August win in Kansas City and Kansas City's 3-1 win in Houston in June 2025 both cleared the line. Since then Kansas City have conceded 14 goals in five games, losing 4-3 at home to Philadelphia on 20 September and 4-3 at FC Dallas two weeks earlier. Superior's model rates both sides' scoring and conceding before it prices every possible score, and its correct score here is 2-0 to Houston, which already clears the line.
Houston have drawn 0-0 twice in five games
Houston average 0.8 goals a game, drew 0-0 with Charlotte and with San Jose, and lost 1-0 at San Jose. The October 2025 meeting in Kansas City also finished 0-0. If Houston stay that quiet and Kansas City score once at most, a 0-0 or a 1-0 either way loses this.
AI-assisted analysis, written from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.
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Team news
Expected formations
Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| August 2, 2026 | Sporting Kansas City | 0 - 2 | Houston Dynamo |
| October 19, 2025 | Sporting Kansas City | 0 - 0 | Houston Dynamo |
| June 1, 2025 | Houston Dynamo | 1 - 3 | Sporting Kansas City |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | +33 | 49 | ||
| 1 | 26 | +32 | 57 | ||
| 2 | 26 | +4 | 44 | ||
| 2 | 26 | +12 | 46 | ||
| 3 | 26 | +15 | 46 | ||
| 3 | 26 | +9 | 44 | ||
| 4 | 26 | +7 | 44 | ||
| 4 | 26 | +10 | 43 | ||
| 5 | 26 | +8 | 42 | ||
| 5 | 25 | +7 | 39 | ||
| 6 | 26 | +8 | 36 | ||
| 6 | 27 | +14 | 41 | ||
| 7 | 26 | -14 | 34 | ||
| 7 | 26 | +1 | 36 | ||
| 8 | 26 | -14 | 33 | ||
| 8 | 27 | -8 | 33 | ||
| 9 | 26 | -1 | 32 | ||
| 9 | 25 | -7 | 33 | ||
| 10 | 26 | +5 | 32 | ||
| 10 | 26 | 0 | 31 | ||
| 11 | 25 | -8 | 29 | ||
| 11 | 26 | -12 | 30 | ||
| 12 | 26 | -10 | 29 | ||
| 12 | 25 | -5 | 29 | ||
| 13 | 24 | -5 | 29 | ||
| 13 | 26 | -5 | 26 | ||
| 14 | 26 | -13 | 26 | ||
| 14 | 26 | -7 | 29 | ||
| 15 | 25 | -34 | 18 | ||
| 15 | 26 | -22 | 21 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 56 | 23 | 33 | 49 | DDLWL |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 53 | 21 | 32 | 57 | DLWWW |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 44 | WWDDW |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 45 | 33 | 12 | 46 | DWDLW |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 63 | 48 | 15 | 46 | DWWWW |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 44 | DWWWW |
| 4 | FC Dallas | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 44 | DLDWW |
| 4 | Charlotte | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 43 | LWDWW |
| 5 | San Jose Earthquakes | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 42 | LDLWL |
| 5 | Chicago Fire | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 39 | WLLWW |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 36 | WWWLD |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 41 | DWWWW |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 46 | 60 | -14 | 34 | LWWLD |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 36 | WLWLL |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 33 | WLLWD |
| 8 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 33 | DDLLD |
| 9 | Portland Timbers | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 32 | WWDWL |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 33 | WLWWD |
| 10 | New York City FC | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 32 | DWWLD |
| 10 | San Diego | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 31 | DWLLD |
| 11 | DC United | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 29 | DWDDD |
| 11 | Austin | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 30 | LLWLL |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 29 | DLDDL |
| 12 | Real Salt Lake | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 29 | DLLDW |
| 13 | Seattle Sounders | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 29 | LLLLL |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 26 | DWLWD |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 26 | LLDLL |
| 14 | Minnesota United FC | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 29 | DDLDL |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 25 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 29 | 63 | -34 | 18 | LLWLL |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 21 | DLLDD |