Houston Dynamo vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction - 27 September 2026
Major League SoccerUSAFull time
Houston Dynamo
0-2
Sporting Kansas City
Our pick:Over 1.5 goals
Odds 1.19Won
- Correct score
- 2-0
- Alternative
- 2-1
- Over 1.5 goals
- 5/5Sporting Kansas City · last 5 games
Match highlights
VIPForm
Houston Dynamo
- D 2-2
- L 0-1
- W 2-1
- D 0-0
- D 0-0
Sporting Kansas City
- L 3-4
- W 3-1
- L 3-4
- L 0-3
- L 1-2
Head to head
- 2 Aug 2026 Sporting Kansas City 0 Houston Dynamo 2 Major League Soccer
- 19 Oct 2025 Sporting Kansas City 0 Houston Dynamo 0 Major League Soccer
- 1 Jun 2025 Houston Dynamo 1 Sporting Kansas City 3 Major League Soccer
Team averages before kickoff
Houston DynamoSporting Kansas City
For
- 11.9Total shots13.6
- 4.0Shots on target4.4
- 3.9Corner kicks4.9
- 1.8Cards2.4
Against
- 12.1Total shots15.1
- 3.0Shots on target5.9
- 5.0Corner kicks5.1
- 2.2Cards1.9
Match analysis
Two of the last three Houston Dynamo vs Sporting Kansas City meetings had two goals or more, and Kansas City's own games have been far more open since. Superior backs Over 1.5 goals on 27 September at 1.19; the model's probability for the pick is 75 percent.
Houston won 2-0 at Kansas City in August
That August win in Kansas City and Kansas City's 3-1 win in Houston in June 2025 both cleared the line. Since then Kansas City have conceded 14 goals in five games, losing 4-3 at home to Philadelphia on 20 September and 4-3 at FC Dallas two weeks earlier. Superior's model rates both sides' scoring and conceding before it prices every possible score, and its correct score here is 2-0 to Houston, which already clears the line.
Houston have drawn 0-0 twice in five games
Houston average 0.8 goals a game, drew 0-0 with Charlotte and with San Jose, and lost 1-0 at San Jose. The October 2025 meeting in Kansas City also finished 0-0. If Houston stay that quiet and Kansas City score once at most, a 0-0 or a 1-0 either way loses this.
Today's acca
2 matches, total odds 1.51From our blog
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Match stats
Houston DynamoSporting Kansas City
Match overview
- 51%Ball possession49%
- 1.28Expected goals (xG)1.20
- 0Big chances2
- 21Total shots10
- 2Goalkeeper saves4
- 8Corner kicks2
- 3Fouls11
- 469Passes448
- 1Yellow cards4
- 1Red cards0
Shots
- 4Shots on target4
- 6Shots off target3
- 11Blocked shots3
- 15Shots inside box7
- 6Shots outside box3
Attack
- 87Attacks78
- 1.34Expected assists (xA)1.95
- 14Key passes10
- 6/14 (43%)Dribbles6/15 (40%)
- 1Offsides0
Passes
- 429/469 (91%)Accurate passes402/448 (90%)
- 19/28 (68%)Long balls9/22 (41%)
- 4/15 (27%)Crosses3/10 (30%)
- 114Final third entries85
Defending
- 10/15 (67%)Tackles won12/18 (67%)
- 11Interceptions7
- 16Clearances19
- 13/18 (72%)Aerial duels5/18 (28%)
Other
- 11Free kicks3
- 11Throw-ins17
- 4Goal kicks9
More tips for this game
- Goals: Over 1.5
- Asian Handicap: Home +0
- Match Winner: Home
VIP
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 2-010.1%Our score
- 2-110.1%Alternative
- 1-010.1%
- 1-18.9%
- 3-17.0%
Top five combined: 46.2%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
HomeHouston DynamoxG2.15
AwaySporting Kansas CityxG0.98
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
4.3%
10%
10%
6.9%
4.3%
2.0%
1.0%
1
4.0%
8.9%
10%
7.0%
4.0%
1.8%
0.9%
2
1.8%
4.2%
4.7%
3.6%
1.8%
0.8%
0.4%
3
0.7%
1.3%
1.4%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
4
0.2%
0.4%
0.3%
0.3%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
Goals and BTTS chances
Both teams to score Yes 54.6%45.4% No
Over 1.5 81.6%18.4% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 60.8%39.2% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 38.9%61.1% Under 3.5
Combos
- Houston Dynamo win and over 2.5 goals45.6%
- Houston Dynamo win and both teams score31.4%
- Draw and under 2.5 goals13.2%
- Sporting Kansas City win and over 2.5 goals9.3%
| Houston Dynamo | Sporting Kansas City | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 84.8% | 34.3% |
| Draw no bet | 81.2% | 18.8% |
| Win to nil | 34.3% | 6.8% |
| Either team wins | 80.9% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 88.9% | 61.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 63.8% | 24.8% |
| Clean sheet | 38.6% | 11.1% |
League table
League table
Major League SoccerUSA · 2026/2027
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | +40 | 64 | ||
| 1 | 34 | +46 | 77 | ||
| 2 | 33 | +9 | 55 | ||
| 2 | 34 | +21 | 60 | ||
| 3 | 33 | +8 | 52 | ||
| 3 | 34 | +8 | 58 | ||
| 4 | 34 | +10 | 55 | ||
| 4 | 33 | +10 | 51 | ||
| 5 | 33 | +1 | 51 | ||
| 5 | 34 | +15 | 54 | ||
| 6 | 34 | +14 | 50 | ||
| 6 | 33 | +13 | 47 | ||
| 7 | 33 | -6 | 44 | ||
| 7 | 34 | +7 | 47 | ||
| 8 | 33 | -1 | 43 | ||
| 8 | 34 | -8 | 46 | ||
| 9 | 34 | -15 | 46 | ||
| 9 | 33 | -1 | 43 | ||
| 10 | 33 | -3 | 43 | ||
| 10 | 34 | +4 | 42 | ||
| 11 | 34 | -14 | 42 | ||
| 11 | 33 | 0 | 42 | ||
| 12 | 34 | -15 | 39 | ||
| 12 | 33 | -4 | 41 | ||
| 13 | 34 | -17 | 33 | ||
| 13 | 33 | -5 | 38 | ||
| 14 | 34 | -22 | 33 | ||
| 14 | 33 | -21 | 34 | ||
| 15 | 33 | -42 | 23 | ||
| 15 | 34 | -32 | 26 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 74 | 34 | 40 | 64 | DDLWL |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 77 | DLWWW |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 55 | DLDWW |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 80 | 59 | 21 | 60 | DWWWW |
| 3 | San Jose Earthquakes | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 52 | LDLWL |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 55 | 47 | 8 | 58 | DWDLW |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 55 | WLLWW |
| 4 | St. Louis City | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 51 | DWWWW |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 51 | WWDDW |
| 5 | Charlotte | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 66 | 51 | 15 | 54 | LWDWW |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 66 | 52 | 14 | 50 | WWWLD |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 47 | DWWWW |
| 7 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 44 | DDLLD |
| 7 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 59 | 52 | 7 | 47 | DWLWD |
| 8 | Portland Timbers | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 60 | 61 | -1 | 43 | WWDWL |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 67 | 75 | -8 | 46 | WLWWD |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 63 | 78 | -15 | 46 | LWWLD |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 43 | WLWLL |
| 10 | Seattle Sounders | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 43 | LLLLL |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 42 | DWWLD |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 42 | WLLWD |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 51 | 51 | 0 | 42 | DLLDW |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 52 | 67 | -15 | 39 | DLDDL |
| 12 | Minnesota United FC | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 41 | DDLDL |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 43 | 60 | -17 | 33 | LLDLL |
| 13 | San Diego | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 57 | 62 | -5 | 38 | DWLLD |
| 14 | DC United | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 33 | DWDDD |
| 14 | Austin | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 | LLWLL |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 39 | 81 | -42 | 23 | LLWLL |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 26 | DLLDD |