Plymouth vs Burton Albion Prediction

Correct scoreOur pick

1-0

Alternative:3-1

Asian Handicap: Home +0.51.20

Bookmaker odds

Home1.64

Draw4.00

Away4.79

Movement needs two stored prices at the same bookmaker. We have 1 so far.

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One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Plymouth vs Burton Albion?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 3-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Plymouth are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Sep 23, 2026, 00:03 UTCModel CS-18Methodology

Match analysis

Superior's pick for Plymouth vs Burton Albion on 26 September is Plymouth on the +0.5 Asian handicap, which wins on a Plymouth win or a draw. It is priced at 1.20 and our model gives it 76 percent, because Plymouth arrive scoring 3.0 goals a game across their last five while Burton have won one of theirs.

Plymouth have scored 15 goals in five games

The model builds an expected scoring rate for each side from what it scores and concedes, then prices every plausible score. Plymouth's rate is fed by 5-1 against Crystal Palace's under-21s, 4-2 at Blackpool, 3-0 against Barnsley and 3-2 at Doncaster. Burton's scoring over the same stretch is well below that, and the only away game in their five was a 3-0 defeat at Oxford. Plymouth also won both meetings last season, 4-0 at Burton and 3-0 at home.

Plymouth have conceded in four of their last five

Only a Burton win beats this pick, so the danger sits in Plymouth's defence rather than their attack. They let in one against Palace's under-21s, two at Blackpool, two at Doncaster and two in a 2-0 defeat at Leicester on 1 September. Burton scored in four of their five, including 4-1 against AFC Wimbledon and two in each draw with Mansfield and Cambridge, so a 1-2 or 2-3 away win is the realistic route to losing it.

Written by the Superior Football Desk · Text drafted by claude-opus-5-5

AI-assisted analysis, written from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.74

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Team news

Expected formations

Plymouth: 4-4-2(predicted)Burton Albion: 3-5-2(predicted)

Prediction, preview and head to head: Plymouth vs Burton Albion

Head to Head

Plymouth vs Burton Albion: Head-to-Head History
Date	Home	Score	Away
January 4, 2026	Plymouth	3 - 0	Burton Albion
September 27, 2025	Burton Albion	0 - 4	Plymouth

League Table

League OneEngland · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sheffield Wednesday	6	4	1	1	13	6	+7	13
2	Huddersfield	6	3	3	0	10	4	+6	12
3	Bradford	6	4	0	2	6	4	+2	12
4	Cambridge United	6	3	2	1	11	9	+2	11
5	AFC Wimbledon	7	3	2	2	5	7	-2	11
6	Oxford United	5	3	1	1	12	6	+6	10
7	Plymouth	6	3	1	2	10	8	+2	10
8	Stockport County	6	3	0	3	16	10	+6	9
9	Stevenage	6	2	3	1	11	7	+4	9
10	Blackpool	6	2	2	2	11	9	+2	8
11	Burton Albion	6	2	2	2	10	10	0	8
12	Luton	6	2	2	2	12	13	-1	8
13	Leicester	6	2	2	2	8	10	-2	8
14	Reading	5	2	1	2	12	7	+5	7
15	Leyton Orient	6	2	1	3	12	9	+3	7
16	Notts County	6	1	4	1	7	7	0	7
17	Mansfield Town	6	2	1	3	8	11	-3	7
18	Barnsley	6	2	1	3	6	11	-5	7
19	Milton Keynes Dons	7	0	6	1	8	10	-2	6
20	Wycombe	6	1	3	2	10	14	-4	6
21	Peterborough	6	1	2	3	4	10	-6	5
22	Bromley	6	1	2	3	6	17	-11	5
23	Wigan	6	1	1	4	5	11	-6	4
24	Doncaster	6	0	3	3	6	9	-3	3

Relegation

League One - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points
1	Sheffield Wednesday	6	4	1	1	13	6	7	13
2	Huddersfield	6	3	3	0	10	4	6	12
3	Bradford	6	4	0	2	6	4	2	12
4	Cambridge United	6	3	2	1	11	9	2	11
5	AFC Wimbledon	7	3	2	2	5	7	-2	11
6	Oxford United	5	3	1	1	12	6	6	10
7	Plymouth	6	3	1	2	10	8	2	10
8	Stockport County	6	3	0	3	16	10	6	9
9	Stevenage	6	2	3	1	11	7	4	9
10	Blackpool	6	2	2	2	11	9	2	8
11	Burton Albion	6	2	2	2	10	10	0	8
12	Luton	6	2	2	2	12	13	-1	8
13	Leicester	6	2	2	2	8	10	-2	8
14	Reading	5	2	1	2	12	7	5	7
15	Leyton Orient	6	2	1	3	12	9	3	7
16	Notts County	6	1	4	1	7	7	0	7
17	Mansfield Town	6	2	1	3	8	11	-3	7
18	Barnsley	6	2	1	3	6	11	-5	7
19	Milton Keynes Dons	7	0	6	1	8	10	-2	6
20	Wycombe	6	1	3	2	10	14	-4	6
21	Peterborough	6	1	2	3	4	10	-6	5
22	Bromley	6	1	2	3	6	17	-11	5
23	Wigan	6	1	1	4	5	11	-6	4
24	Doncaster	6	0	3	3	6	9	-3	3

Plymouth vs Burton Albion Prediction - September 26, 2026

Bookmaker odds

What is the prediction for Plymouth vs Burton Albion?

Match analysis

Plymouth have scored 15 goals in five games

Plymouth have conceded in four of their last five

Markets to consider

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More League One Predictions

Expected formations

Head to Head

League Table

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